New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010

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New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010
← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
  Governor John Lynch.jpg
Nominee John H. Lynch John Stephen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 239,390 205,433
Percentage 52.6% 45.1%
Governor before election

John H. Lynch
Democratic

 Elected Governor

John H. Lynch
Democratic

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The New Hampshire gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to a fourth term in 2010.[1]

Background

New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and has enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Lynch, incumbent Governor[4]
  • Timothy Robertson, State Representative
  • Frank Sullivan

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Lynch (Incumbent) 49,832 87.5
Democratic Timothy Robertson 3,771 6.6
Democratic Frank Sullivan 3,377 5.9
Total votes 56,980 97.3

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jack Kimball, businessman[6]
  • Frank Robert Emiro Sr., State Representative
  • John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner[7]
  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist[6]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Jack Kimball John Stephen Karen Testerman
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 24% 45% 8%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 15% 26% 5%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 10% 29% 15%

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Stephen 77,962 61.6
Republican Jack Kimball 31,581 24.9
Republican Karen Testerman 12,708 10.0
Republican Frank Emiro 4,394 3.5
Total votes 126,645 96.7

General election

Candidates

  • John Babiarz, Libertarian
  • John Lynch, Democratic
  • John Stephen, Republican

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[11] October 12, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans D[12] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[13]
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[14] September 30, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[15] October 12, 2010
Election Projection Solid D hold[16] October 12, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered John Lynch (D) John Stephen (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 51% 45%
WMUR/UNH October 7–12, 2010 51% 38%
American Research Group October 3–5, 2010 51% 41%
Granite State Poll October 1, 2010 51% 34%
American Research Group September 22–26, 2010 42% 40%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 48% 46%
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 51% 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 50% 39%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 51% 34%
Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 47% 35%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 36%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 47% 37%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 50% 35%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 50% 30%

Results

2010 New Hampshire Governor general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Lynch (Incumbent) 240,346 52.63% -17.57%
Republican John Stephen 205,616 45.03% +17.43%
Libertarian John Babiarz 10,089 2.21% +0.02%
Write-ins 537 <0.01%
Majority 34,730
Turnout 456,588
Democratic hold Swing

References

  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2010/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf
  3. ↑ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf
  4. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  16. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

Official campaign sites
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