1986 Basque regional election

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1986 Basque regional election
← 1984 30 November 1986 1990 →
All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 1,660,143 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4.8%
Turnout 1,155,815 (69.6%)
Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Txiki Benegas José Antonio Ardanza Juan Carlos Yoldi
Party PSE-PSOE EAJ-PNV HB
Leader since 26 February 1978 2 March 1985 1986
Leader's seat Biscay Guipúzcoa Guipúzcoa
Last election 19 seats, 23.0% 32 seats, 41.8% 11 seats, 14.6%
Seats won 19 17 13
Seat change Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0 Red Arrow Down.svg15 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2
Popular vote 252,233 271,208 199,900
Percentage 22.0% 23.6% 17.4%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg1.0 pp Red Arrow Down.svg18.2 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.8 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Carlos Garaikoetxea Juan María Bandrés Julen Guimón
Party EA EE AP–PL
Leader since 4 September 1986 1985 1986
Leader's seat Guipúzcoa Guipúzcoa Biscay
Last election Did not contest 6 seats, 7.9% 7 seats, 9.3%[lower-alpha 1]
Seats won 13 9 2
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg13 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3 Red Arrow Down.svg5
Popular vote 181,175 124,423 55,606
Percentage 15.8% 10.8% 4.8%
Swing New party Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.9 pp Red Arrow Down.svg4.5 pp
325px
Constituency results map for the Basque Parliament
Lehendakari before election

José Antonio Ardanza
EAJ-PNV

 Elected Lehendakari

José Antonio Ardanza
EAJ-PNV

The 1986 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 30 November 1986, to elect the 3rd Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.

The Socialist Party of the Basque Country (PSE–PSOE) won 19 seats, the Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) came second with 17 seats, People's Unity (HB) and Basque Solidarity (EA), a PNV split, each won 13 seats, and Basque Country Left won 9 seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution of 1978 and the regional Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.[1]

Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes[lower-alpha 2] being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Guipúzcoa, being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats each to provide for an equal representation of the three provinces in parliament as required under the regional statute of autonomy.[1][2] This meant that Álava was allocated the same number of seats as Biscay and Gipuzkoa, despite their populations being, as of 1 July 1986: 268,532, 1,181,962 and 690,582, respectively.[3]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 500 electors in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][4]

Election date

The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. An election was required to take place within from thirty-six and forty-five days from the date of expiry of parliament. The previous election was held on 26 February 1984, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 February 1988. The election was required to be held no later than the forty-fifth day from dissolution, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Monday, 11 April 1988.[1][2]

The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.[5]

Opinion polls

The tables below lists opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred Lehendakari

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Lehendakari.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 30 November 1986 Basque Parliament election results →
350px
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 271,208 23.60 –18.21 17 –15
Socialist Party of the Basque Country (PSE–PSOE) 252,233 21.95 –1.01 19 ±0
Popular Unity (HB) 199,900 17.40 +2.81 13 +2
Basque Solidarity (EA) 181,175 15.77 New 13 +13
Basque Country Left (EE) 124,423 10.83 +2.89 9 +3
People's Alliance–Liberal Party (AP–PL)1 55,606 4.84 –4.48 2 –5
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) 40,445 3.52 New 2 +2
United Left (IU/EB) 6,750 0.59 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK) 5,675 0.49 –0.90 0 ±0
Workers' Socialist Party (PST) 2,925 0.25 +0.05 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 1,400 0.12 New 0 ±0
Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) 1,190 0.10 New 0 ±0
Republican Popular Unity (UPR)2 1,102 0.10 ±0.00 0 ±0
Blank ballots[lower-alpha 4] 5,003 0.44 –0.03
Total 1,149,035 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,149,035 99.41 –0.01
Invalid votes 6,780 0.59 +0.01
Votes cast / turnout 1,155,815 69.62 +1.13
Abstentions 504,328 30.38 –1.13
Registered voters 1,660,143
Sources[6][7]
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Footnotes:
Popular vote
EAJ/PNV
  
 23.60%
PSE–PSOE
  
 21.95%
HB
  
 17.40%
EA
  
 15.77%
EE
  
 10.83%
AP–PL
  
 4.84%
CDS
  
 3.52%
Others
  
 1.66%
Blank ballots
  
 0.44%
Seats
PSE–PSOE
  
 25.33%
EAJ/PNV
  
 22.67%
HB
  
 17.33%
EA
  
 17.33%
EE
  
 12.00%
AP–PL
  
 2.67%
CDS
  
 2.67%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PNV PSE HB EA EE AP–PL CDS
 % S  % S  % S  % S  % S  % S  % S
Álava 20.1 5 24.9 7 12.8 3 14.5 4 10.9 3 6.9 1 8.0 2
Biscay 28.8 8 22.5 6 16.0 4 11.7 3 10.2 3 5.1 1 3.2 –
Guipúzcoa 16.0 4 19.9 6 21.6 6 23.1 6 11.9 3 3.6 – 2.4 –
Total 23.6 17 22.0 19 17.4 13 15.8 13 10.8 9 4.8 2 3.5 2
Sources[6][7]

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot → 26 February 1987
Required majority → 38 out of 75
38 / 75
YesY
Juan Carlos Yoldi (HB)
0 / 75
N
Blank ballots
  • • EA (13)
  • • EE (9)
  • • AP (2)
24 / 75
Absentees
  • • HB (13)
13 / 75
Sources[6]

Notes

  1. ↑ Results for AP–PDP–UL in the 1984 election.
  2. ↑ Unlike other electoral legislation in Spain, valid votes under the 1983 Basque electoral law did not include blank ballots.
  3. ↑ With Carlos Garaikoetxea as EA's candidate.
  4. ↑ The 1983 electoral law provided that blank ballots would not count as valid votes for the application of the 5 percent threshold in each district. However, this rule was not determinant in excluding any party from seat distribution during its time of application (the 1984 and 1986 elections). As a result, and for comparison purposes, blank ballots are shown here included within valid votes.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  16. ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  21. ↑ 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
Other
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco, Organic Law No. 3 of 18 December 1979 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 Ley 28/1983, de 25 de noviembre, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco, Law No. 28 of 25 November 1983 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  3. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  4. ↑ Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  5. ↑ Government Law of 1981, Law No. 7 of 30 June 1981 Official Gazette of the Basque Country (in Español)
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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