Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election polling
Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls.; This map only represents polling data. It is not a prediction for the election.
	Leads are based on the average of aggregate polls if available, otherwise on the most recent individual poll if available, otherwise on the result of the previous election.
President before election; Joe Biden; Democratic	Elected President; Donald Trump; Republican

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.^[1]

Limitations

Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on last vote. This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election.^[2]

Forecasts

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

"tossup": no advantage
"tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
"lean" or "leans": slight advantage
"likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
"safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

State	EVs	Last poll closing time (UTC−05:00)^[3]^[4]	PVI^[5]	2020 result	2020 margin^[6]	IE November 3, 2024^[7]	Cook November 4, 2024^[8]	CNalysis November 4, 2024^[9]	Sabato November 4, 2024^[10]	CNN November 4, 2024^[11]	DDHQ November 5, 2024^[12]	538 November 5, 2024^[13]	Economist November 5, 2024^[14]
Alaska	3	Nov 6 01:00 am	Template:Shading PVI	52.8% R	10.06%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R
Arizona	11	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	49.4% D	0.31%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)
Colorado	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	55.4% D	13.50%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Safe D
Florida	30	Nov 5 08:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	51.2% R	3.36%	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Georgia	16	Nov 5 07:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	49.5% D	0.24%	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Iowa	6	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	53.1% R	8.20%	Tilt R	Likely R	Tilt R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Kansas	6	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	56.1% R	14.63%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R
Maine^{[lower-alpha 1]}	2	Nov 5 08:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	53.1% D	9.07%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
ME–02^{[lower-alpha 1]}	1	Nov 5 08:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI^{[lower-alpha 2]}	52.3% R^{[lower-alpha 2]}	7.44%^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Lean R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Michigan	15	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	50.6% D	2.78%	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D
Minnesota	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	52.4% D	7.11%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D
NE–01^{[lower-alpha 1]}	1	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI^{[lower-alpha 2]}	56.0% R^{[lower-alpha 2]}	14.92%^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Likely R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R
NE–02^{[lower-alpha 1]}	1	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI^{[lower-alpha 2]}	52.0% D^{[lower-alpha 2]}	6.50%^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Nevada	6	Nov 5 10:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	50.1% D	2.39%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
New Hampshire	4	Nov 5 08:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	52.7% D	7.35%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
New Mexico	5	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	54.3% D	10.79%	Solid D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
North Carolina	16	Nov 5 07:30 pm	Template:Shading PVI	49.9% R	1.35%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Ohio	17	Nov 5 07:30 pm	Template:Shading PVI	53.3% R	8.03%	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
Oregon	8	Nov 5 11:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	56.4% D	16.08%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Lean D	Safe D	Solid D	Safe D
Pennsylvania	19	Nov 5 08:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	50.0% D	1.16%	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Texas	40	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	52.1% R	5.58%	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Virginia	13	Nov 5 07:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	54.1% D	10.11%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Wisconsin	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	Template:Shading PVI	49.5% D	0.63%	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Overall						D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 308 R – 230 0 tossup	D – 276 R – 262 0 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups	D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups

Alabama

Alaska

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research^[15]	October 20–22, 2024	1,703 (LV)	± 2.4%	55%	45%	–
Alaska Survey Research^[16]	October 8–9, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 2.9%	54%	46%	–
Cygnal (R)^[17]^{[upper-alpha 1]}	August 30 – September 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	43%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research^[15]	October 20–22, 2024	1,703 (LV)	± 2.4%	51%	43%	7%	–
Alaska Survey Research^[16]	October 8–9, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	43%	7%	–
Alaska Survey Research^[18]	September 27–29, 2024	1,182 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	43%	6%	–
Alaska Survey Research^[19]	September 11–12, 2024	1,254 (LV)	–	47%	42%	5%	6%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	248 (LV)	–	50%	43%	7%
Data for Progress (D)^[21]	February 23 – March 2, 2024	1,120 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	41%	6%
Alaska Survey Research^[22]	October 13–18, 2023	1,375 (LV)	–	45%	37%	19%
Alaska Survey Research^[23]	July 18–21, 2023	1,336 (LV)	–	43%	36%	21%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Alaska Survey Research^[22]	October 13–18, 2023	1,375 (LV)	–	37%	29%	17%	17%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	248 (LV)	–	48%	41%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	248 (LV)	–	50%	37%	13%

Arizona

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 4]}	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.8%	48.4%	4.8%	Trump +1.6%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.8%	48.9%	4.3%	Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.9%	49.3%	3.8%	Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	49.9%	2.8%	Trump +2.6%
Average			47.0%	49.1%	3.9%	Trump +2.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel^[24]	November 3–4, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	52%	1%
Victory Insights^[25]	November 2–3, 2024	750 (LV)	–	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
Trafalgar Group (R)^[26]	November 1–3, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	49%	4%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
Patriot Polling^[27]	November 1–3, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[28]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
AtlasIntel^[29]	November 1–2, 2024	967 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	52%	2%
Emerson College^[30]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	50%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[30]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	49%	6%
ActiVote^[32]	October 8 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
SoCal Strategies (R)^[33]^{[upper-alpha 3]}	October 30–31, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel^[34]	October 30–31, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[35]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	50%	3%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	880 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	50%	1%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	856 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	50%	1%
Morning Consult^[37]	October 21−30, 2024	666 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[38]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	October 25–29, 2024	803 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
AtlasIntel^[39]	October 25–29, 2024	1,458 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Mitchell Research & Communications^[40]	October 28, 2024	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	2%
RABA Research^[41]	October 25–27, 2024	589 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	12%^{[lower-alpha 9]}
Trafalgar Group (R)^[42]	October 24–26, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
CES/YouGov^[43]	October 1–25, 2024	2,077 (A)	–	49%	49%	2%
CES/YouGov^[43]	October 1–25, 2024	2,066 (LV)	–	47%	51%	2%
Marist College^[44]	October 17–22, 2024	1,329 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Marist College^[44]	October 17–22, 2024	1,193 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[45]	October 20–21, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
HighGround^[46]	October 19–20, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	915 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	861 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
University of Arizona/Truedot^[48]	October 12–20, 2024	846 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	45%	9%^{[lower-alpha 11]}
AtlasIntel^[49]	October 12–17, 2024	1,440 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
CBS News/YouGov^[50]	October 11−16, 2024	1,435 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	51%	1%
Morning Consult^[37]	October 6−15, 2024	653 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School^[51]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	580 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	50%	6%
Washington Post/Schar School^[51]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	580 (LV)	± 5.0%	46%	49%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[52]	October 10–13, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
New York Times/Siena College^[53]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	51%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[53]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	51%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)^[54]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	49%	5%
Emerson College^[55]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[55]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Wall Street Journal^[56]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	6%
ActiVote^[57]	September 6 – October 8, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
SoCal Strategies (R)^[58]^{[upper-alpha 3]}	October 5–7, 2024	735 (LV)	–	49%	48%	3%
RMG Research^[59]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	September 30 – October 2, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	50%	4%^{[lower-alpha 13]}
RMG Research^[59]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	September 30 – October 2, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	50%	4%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[60]^{[upper-alpha 8]}	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[61]^{[upper-alpha 9]}	September 24 – October 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	2%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[62]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
HighGround^[63]^{[upper-alpha 10]}	September 26–29, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
National Research^[64]^{[upper-alpha 11]}	September 25–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)^[65]^{[upper-alpha 12]}	September 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College^[66]^{[upper-alpha 13]}	September 27–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	50%	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[66]^{[upper-alpha 13]}	September 27–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
AtlasIntel^[67]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[68]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	48%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	926 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
Fox News^[70]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Fox News^[70]	September 20−24, 2024	764 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	51%	1%
Marist College^[71]	September 19−24, 2024	1,416 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	50%	2%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Marist College^[71]	September 19−24, 2024	1,264 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[72]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	September 19–22, 2024	1,030 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
New York Times/Siena College^[73]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	49%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[73]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	50%	5%
Emerson College^[74]	September 15–18, 2024	868 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 14]}
Emerson College^[74]	September 15–18, 2024	868 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 14]}
Morning Consult^[37]	September 9−18, 2024	862 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[75]	September 11–12, 2024	1,088 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
Data Orbital^[76]^{[upper-alpha 14]}	September 7–9, 2024	550 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	46%	8%
Morning Consult^[37]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
TIPP Insights^[77]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	8%
TIPP Insights^[77]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	September 3–5, 2024	949 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
Patriot Polling^[78]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	47%	49%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[79]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
University of Arizona/Truedot^[80]	August 28–31, 2024	1,155 (RV)	–	42%	46%	12%^{[lower-alpha 15]}
Emerson College^[81]	August 25–28, 2024	720 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	50%	7%
Emerson College^[81]	August 25–28, 2024	720 (LV)	± 3.6%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[82]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[82]	August 23–26, 2024	758 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Fox News^[83]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
Spry Strategies (R)^[84]^{[upper-alpha 16]}	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[85]^{[upper-alpha 17]}	August 13–17, 2024	1,187 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Noble Predictive Insights^[86]	August 12–16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Focaldata^[87]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	51%	–
Strategies 360^[88]	August 7–14, 2024	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	47%	46%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[89]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[89]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	45%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[90]	August 6–8, 2024	1,092 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%
Navigator Research (D)^[91]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	49%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[92]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	435 (LV)	–	48%	46%	6%
HighGround^[93]	July 30 – August 5, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	42%	14%^{[lower-alpha 16]}
Public Policy Polling (D)^[94]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 29–30, 2024	618 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	49%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[95]^{[upper-alpha 19]}	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	48%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[96]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College^[97]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	49%	7%
Emerson College^[97]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	47%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	53%	–
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[98]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	48%	10%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	44%	52%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[100]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	51%	7%
Emerson College^[101]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	48%	12%
New York Times/Siena College^[102]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[102]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 17]}	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 10, 2024	October 15, 2024	46.4%	48.8%	1.0%	N/A	0.8%	3.0%	Trump +2.4%
270toWin	October 2 – 12, 2024	October 12, 2024	47.4%	47.6%	1.0%	0.0%	0.5%	3.5%	Trump +0.2%
Average			46.9%	48.1%	1.0%	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel^[24]	November 3–4, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
AtlasIntel^[29]	November 1–2, 2024	967 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	52%	–	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	47%	–	3%	2%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	–	2%	1%	5%
Focaldata^[103]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,779 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,603 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%
		1,779 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%
AtlasIntel^[34]	October 30–31, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[104]	October 28–31, 2024	652 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	880 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	48%	0%	1%	–	4%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	856 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	48%	0%	0%	–	4%
Noble Predictive Insights^[105]	October 28–30, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	–	2%	0%	3%
Data for Progress (D)^[106]	October 25–30, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	0%	4%
AtlasIntel^[39]	October 25–29, 2024	1,458 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
Mitchell Research & Communications^[40]	October 28, 2024	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	–	0%	1%	1%
Data Orbital^[107]	October 26–28, 2024	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	42%	50%	–	1%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[108]	October 25–27, 2024	901 (LV)	–	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
J.L. Partners^[109]	October 24–26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	49%	–	0%	1%	2%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
CNN/SSRS^[110]	October 21–26, 2024	781 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	47%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[111]	October 20–22, 2024	710 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	915 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	861 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[112]	October 16–18, 2024	691 (LV)	–	46%	49%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel^[49]	October 12–17, 2024	1,440 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[113]	October 12–14, 2024	1,141 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[53]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[53]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	50%	–	1%	0%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[114]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	555 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[61]^{[upper-alpha 20]}	September 24 – October 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel^[67]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	0%	–	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[68]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	47%	–	1%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	926 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News^[70]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	1%	1%	2%	−
Fox News^[70]	September 20−24, 2024	764 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	50%	0%	1%	2%	−
Suffolk University/USA Today^[115]	September 19−24, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	–	1%	1%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[73]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	47%	–	2%	3%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[73]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	–	2%	2%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[116]	September 16–19, 2024	789 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[117]	September 6–9, 2024	765 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
TIPP Insights^[77]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	1%	1%	–	6%
TIPP Insights^[77]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	September 3–5, 2024	949 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
YouGov^[118]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.2%	45%	47%	1%	1%	–	6%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
CNN/SSRS^[119]	August 23–29, 2024	682 (LV)	± 4.7%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[120]	August 25–28, 2024	530 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[82]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[82]	August 23–26, 2024	758 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News^[83]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	1%	1%	2%	1%

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Wall Street Journal^[56]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	0%	0%	1%	1%	6%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)^[65]^{[upper-alpha 12]}	September 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	47%	0%	0%	2%	1%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Spry Strategies (R)^[84]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	2%	–	1%	–	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[85]^{[upper-alpha 17]}	August 13–17, 2024	1,187 (LV)	–	44%	45%	7%	1%	0%	–	3%
Focaldata^[87]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	46%	7%	–	0%	0%	2%
		702 (RV)		45%	45%	9%	–	0%	0%	1%
		702 (A)		42%	46%	9%	–	0%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[121]	August 12–15, 2024	592 (LV)	–	43%	44%	5%	–	1%	1%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[89]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	42%	6%	0%	1%	2%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[89]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	43%	5%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Navigator Research (D)^[91]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	5%	0%	0%	0%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[92]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	435 (LV)	–	46%	42%	7%	1%	0%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[122]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	567 (LV)	–	44%	43%	4%	–	0%	0%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[96]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	44%	5%	–	0%	2%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[123]	July 22–24, 2024	510 (LV)	–	43%	46%	4%	–	0%	1%	6%
Emerson College^[97]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	40%	48%	5%	1%	1%	1%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)^[124]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–20, 2024	738 (RV)	± 3.6%	40%	46%	7%	1%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Peak Insights (R)^[125]^{[upper-alpha 22]}	July 31 – August 5, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	44%	11%	3%
Iron Light Intelligence (R)^[126]^{[upper-alpha 23]}	July 29 – August 5, 2024	600 (LV)	–	43%	43%	7%	7%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

800px Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Public Policy Polling (D)^[124]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–20, 2024	738 (RV)	± 3.6%	44%	50%	6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[98]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	49%	7%
Emerson College^[127]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	47%	13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[128]^{[upper-alpha 25]}	July 5–12, 2024	1,101 (LV)	± 3.0%	41%	50%	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	43%	51%	6%
Echelon Insights^[129]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	July 1–8, 2024	601 (LV)	± 5.0%	44%	48%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[130]	July 1–5, 2024	781 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	48%	7%
Emerson College^[131]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	June 30 – July 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
Remington Research Group (R)^[132]	June 29 – July 1, 2024	638 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	49%	9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[133]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	June 17–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	48%	10%
Emerson College^[134]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	47%	10%
Emerson College^[134]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[135]	June 11–13, 2024	750 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	47%	13%
Fox News^[136]	June 1–4, 2024	1,095 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[137]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	May 28 – June 4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	50%	6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[138]	May 19–21, 2024	609 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	41%	18%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[138]	May 19–21, 2024	501 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	12%
CBS News/YouGov^[139]	May 10–16, 2024	1,214 (RV)	± 3.5%	47%	52%	1%
Prime Group^[140]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	May 9–16, 2024	490 (RV)	–	49%	51%	–
Noble Predictive Insights^[141]	May 7–14, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.1%	41%	44%	15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[100]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	49%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[142]	May 6–13, 2024	527 (LV)	± 4.3%	44%	45%	11%
New York Times/Siena College^[143]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	626 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	49%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[143]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	626 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	49%	8%
Emerson College^[144]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	48%	8%
Emerson College^[144]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
Kaplan Strategies^[145]	April 20–21, 2024	874 (RV)	± 3.3%	43%	47%	10%
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	630 (LV)	–	40%	51%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[146]	April 8–15, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	49%	9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[147]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	April 7–11, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	48%	8%
The Bullfinch Group^[148]^{[upper-alpha 29]}	March 29 – April 3, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	44%	18%^{[lower-alpha 18]}
RABA Research^[149]	March 28–31, 2024	503 (RV)	± 4.4%	36%	39%	25%^{[lower-alpha 19]}
Wall Street Journal^[150]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	47%	11%
Echelon Insights^[151]^{[upper-alpha 30]}	March 12–19, 2024	401 (LV)	± 5.7%	45%	51%	4%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[152]^{[upper-alpha 23]}	March 14–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College^[153]	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	48%	8%
Emerson College^[153]	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[154]	March 8–14, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	48%	9%
Fox News^[155]	March 7–11, 2024	1,121 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	49%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[156]	February 21–26, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	47%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[157]	February 12–20, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	8%
Emerson College^[101]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	46%	11%
J.L. Partners^[158]	January 29 – February 1, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	41%	45%	14%
Focaldata^[159]	January 17–23, 2024	783 (A)	–	39%	43%	18%^{[lower-alpha 20]}
		– (LV)		41%	45%	14%^{[lower-alpha 21]}
		– (LV)		50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[160]	January 16–21, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
The Bullfinch Group^[161]	December 14–18, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	50%	10%
VCreek/AMG (R)^[162]^{[upper-alpha 31]}	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	41%	46%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[163]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
J.L. Partners^[164]^{[upper-alpha 32]}	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
Tulchin Research (D)^[165]^{[upper-alpha 33]}	November 13–20, 2023	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	42%	16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[166]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College^[167]	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	43%	16%
New York Times/Siena College^[102]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	49%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[102]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	49%	7%
Noble Predictive Insights^[168]	October 25–31, 2023	1,010 (RV)	± 3.1%	38%	46%	16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[169]	October 5–10, 2023	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	47%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[170]	October 7–9, 2023	627 (RV)	–	39%	44%	16%
Emerson College^[171]	August 2–4, 2023	1,337 (RV)	± 2.6%	43%	45%	13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[172]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	July 22–24, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	44%	8%
Prime Group^[173]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	48%	52%	–
Prime Group^[173]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	31%	41%	28%^{[lower-alpha 22]}
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[174]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	June 17–19, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	41%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[175]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	44%	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[176]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	April 11–13, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	44%	11%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[177]^{[upper-alpha 35]}	March 13–14, 2023	1,001 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	50%	11%
OH Predictive Insights^[178]	January 31 – February 9, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	39%	37%	24%
Blueprint Polling (D)^[179]	January 5–8, 2023	618 (V)	± 3.9%	35%	38%	27%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[180]	November 8–9, 2022	874 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	45%	8%
Targoz Market Research^[181]	November 2–6, 2022	560 (LV)	± 4.1%	45%	53%	2%
Emerson College^[182]	October 30 – November 1, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College^[183]	September 6–7, 2022	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	41%	44%	15%
Echelon Insights^[184]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	August 31 – September 7, 2022	773 (LV)	± 4.5%	43%	47%	10%
Blueprint Polling (D)^[185]	May 12–16, 2022	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	41%	18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[186]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	51%	6%
Bendixen/Amandi International^[187]	June 17–23, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	44%	5%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Public Policy Polling (D)^[124]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–20, 2024	738 (RV)	± 3.6%	40%	45%	7%	–	2%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[188]	July 16–18, 2024	456 (LV)	–	40%	44%	7%	–	1%	8%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Emerson College^[127]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	46%	6%	1%	1%	10%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[128]^{[upper-alpha 25]}	July 5–12, 2024	1,101 (LV)	± 3.0%	37%	46%	9%	1%	1%	6%
YouGov^[189]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	July 4–12, 2024	900 (RV)	± 3.9%	37%	44%	5%	1%	2%	11%
J.L. Partners^[190]	July 10–11, 2024	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	40%	46%	4%	–	2%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[191]	July 8–10, 2024	419 (LV)	–	39%	43%	7%	–	1%	10%^{[lower-alpha 24]}
Echelon Insights^[129]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	July 1–8, 2024	601 (LV)	± 5.0%	39%	41%	11%	1%	0%	8%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[130]	July 1–5, 2024	781 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	45%	9%	1%	0%	7%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[133]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	June 17–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	32%	42%	13%	–	3%	10%^{[lower-alpha 25]}
Emerson College^[134]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	43%	8%	1%	1%	8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[135]	June 11–13, 2024	750 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	41%	10%	2%	1%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[192]	June 8–11, 2024	430 (LV)	–	38%	40%	6%	–	1%	15%^{[lower-alpha 24]}
Fox News^[136]	June 1–4, 2024	1,095 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	46%	8%	1%	1%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[137]^{[upper-alpha 36]}	May 28 – June 4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	37%	45%	11%	0%	3%	4%
Prime Group^[140]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	May 9–16, 2024	490 (RV)	–	40%	44%	11%	3%	2%	–
Noble Predictive Insights^[141]	May 7–14, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.1%	36%	43%	8%	1%	2%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[100]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	45%	7%	1%	2%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[142]	May 6–13, 2024	527 (LV)	± 4.3%	37%	41%	10%	2%	1%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[143]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	626 (RV)	± 4.0%	33%	42%	10%	0%	2%	13%
New York Times/Siena College^[143]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	626 (LV)	± 4.0%	35%	44%	8%	0%	2%	11%
Emerson College^[144]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	44%	9%	1%	1%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[146]	April 8–15, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	46%	7%	2%	0%	5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[147]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	April 7–11, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	37%	42%	10%	–	2%	9%
Wall Street Journal^[150]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	34%	39%	13%	2%	1%	11%^{[lower-alpha 26]}
Emerson College^[153]	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	46%	7%	1%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[154]	March 8–14, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	43%	12%	2%	1%	5%
Fox News^[155]	March 7–11, 2024	1,121 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	43%	10%	1%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[157]	February 12–20, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	45%	9%	1%	1%	8%
Emerson College^[101]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	43%	8%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[193]	January 16–21, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	35%	43%	10%	1%	1%	10%
VCreek/AMG (R)^[162]^{[upper-alpha 31]}	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	32%	40%	9%	3%	2%	14%^{[lower-alpha 27]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[194]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	40%	10%	1%	1%	11%
J.L. Partners^[164]^{[upper-alpha 32]}	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	39%	44%	5%	1%	0%	12%^{[lower-alpha 28]}

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
1983 Labs^[195]	June 28–30, 2024	492 (LV)	± 4.4%	33%	48%	8%	11%^{[lower-alpha 29]}
P2 Insights^[196]^{[upper-alpha 37]}	June 11–20, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	36%	47%	7%	10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[138]	May 19–21, 2024	609 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	39%	9%	15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[138]	May 19–21, 2024	501 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	43%	7%	11%
P2 Insights^[197]^{[upper-alpha 37]}	May 13–21, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	38%	41%	9%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[198]	May 2–4, 2024	625 (LV)	–	42%	44%	7%	7%^{[lower-alpha 30]}
Data Orbital^[199]	April 27–29, 2024	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	38.8%	38.1%	13.5%	9.6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[200]	March 14–17, 2024	516 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[201]	December 28–30, 2023	808 (LV)	–	35%	41%	10%	14%
VCreek/AMG (R)^[162]^{[upper-alpha 31]}	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	35%	40%	16%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[202]	November 27–29, 2023	1,103 (LV)	–	33%	40%	10%	17%
New York Times/Siena College^[203]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	33%	33%	26%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[203]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.4%	34%	34%	24%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[170]	October 7–9, 2023	627 (LV)	–	37%	42%	8%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
North Star Opinion Research^[152]^{[upper-alpha 23]}	March 14–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	33%	37%	18%	2%	10%
J.L. Partners^[164]^{[upper-alpha 32]}	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.4%	34%	39%	4%	1%	22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[204]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	40%	11%	1%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Emerson College^[171]	August 2–4, 2023	1,337 (RV)	± 2.6%	41%	42%	4%	13%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	630 (LV)	–	34%	52%	14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	630 (LV)	–	39%	46%	15%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	44%	51%	5%
Emerson College^[101]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	34%	47%	19%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	45%	49%	6%

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	JB Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	41%	47%	12%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Josh Shapiro Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	43%	46%	11%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Pete Buttigieg Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[99]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	46%	49%	5%

Mark Kelly vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Mark Kelly Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[124]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–20, 2024	738 (RV)	± 3.6%	43%	45%	6%	1%	5%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[202]	November 27–29, 2023	1,103 (LV)	–	33%	25%	19%	23%^{[lower-alpha 31]}

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)^[162]^{[upper-alpha 31]}	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	30%	37%	33%
New York Times/Siena College^[205]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	38%	45%	17%
New York Times/Siena College^[205]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.4%	37%	46%	17%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[202]	November 27–29, 2023	1,103 (LV)	–	34%	27%	17%	22%^{[lower-alpha 32]}

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College^[205]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	41%	46%	13%
New York Times/Siena College^[205]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	46%	12%
Noble Predictive Insights^[168]	October 25 – 31, 2023	1,010 (RV)	± 3.1%	37%	40%	23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[172]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	July 22–24, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	39%	46%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[174]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	June 17–19, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	46%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[175]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	47%	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[176]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	April 11–13, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%
OH Predictive Insights^[178]	January 31 – February 9, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	35%	36%	29%
Blueprint Polling (D)^[179]	January 5–8, 2023	618 (V)	± 3.9%	37%	43%	20%
Echelon Insights^[184]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	August 31 – September 7, 2022	773 (LV)	± 4.5%	43%	43%	14%

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Mike Pence Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[175]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	43%	12%

File:Arizona County Flips 2024.svg

Arizona county flips from 2020 to 2024 presidential elections

Arkansas

2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas

California

2024 United States presidential election in California

Colorado

2024 United States presidential election in Colorado

Connecticut

2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut

Delaware

2024 United States presidential election in Delaware

District of Columbia

Florida

2024 United States presidential election in Florida

Georgia

2024 United States presidential election in Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote^[206]	October 4–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote^[207]	September 3 – October 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
ActiVote^[208]	August 6–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	643 (LV)	–	53%	40%	7%
Emerson College^[209]	October 1–4, 2023	468 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	34%	23%
Cor Strategies^[210]	August 24–27, 2023	811 (RV)	–	55%	35%	10%
Emerson College^[211]^{[upper-alpha 38]}	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	37%	14%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[212]^{[upper-alpha 39]}	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	42%	7%
Emerson College^[213]	September 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	38%	11%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	643 (LV)	–	46%	43%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	643 (LV)	–	48%	37%	15%

J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	J. B. Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[212]	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	42%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Cor Strategies^[210]	August 24–27, 2023	811 (RV)	–	53%	35%	12%

Indiana

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 33]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote^[214]	October 3–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote^[215]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ARW Strategies^[216]^{[upper-alpha 40]}	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–	55%	39%	6%
Emerson College^[217]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	57%	40%	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[217]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	41%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Lake Research Partners (D)^[218]^{[upper-alpha 41]}	August 26 – September 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden <templatestyles src="template:row hover highlight/styles.css"/>

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 33]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	47%	43%	10%
Emerson College^[219]	March 2–5, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	55%	34%	11%
Emerson College^[220]	October 1–4, 2023	462 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%	29%	24%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 33]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	44%	41%	15%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 33]}	Margin of error	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	418 (LV)	–	47%	38%	15%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden <templatestyles src="template:row hover highlight/styles.css"/>

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 33]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College^[219]	March 2–5, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	29%	26%

Iowa

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 17]}	Margin
270ToWin	October 2 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	45.3%	50.0%	4.7%	Trump +4.7%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 4, 2024	45.4%	49.8%	4.8%	Trump +4.4%
Average			45.4%	49.9%	4.7%	Trump +4.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[221]	November 2–3, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	46%	2%^{[lower-alpha 34]}
SoCal Strategies (R)^[222]^{[upper-alpha 42]}	November 2–3, 2024	501 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	7%
SoCal Strategies (R)^[222]^{[upper-alpha 42]}	November 2–3, 2024	435 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	44%	4%
Emerson College^[223]^{[upper-alpha 43]}	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	53%	43%	4%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[223]^{[upper-alpha 43]}	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	54%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	45%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Cygnal (R)^[224]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	September 27–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	45%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Selzer & Co.^[225]^{[upper-alpha 45]}	October 28–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 3.4%	44%	47%	3%	0%	6%^{[lower-alpha 35]}
Selzer & Co.^[226]^{[upper-alpha 45]}	September 8–11, 2024	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	47%	43%	6%	1%	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden <templatestyles src="template:row hover highlight/styles.css"/>

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[227]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	July 8–9, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	39%	10%
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	405 (LV)	–	47%	45%	8%
Selzer & Co.^[228]^{[upper-alpha 45]}	February 25–28, 2024	640 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	33%	19%^{[lower-alpha 36]}
Cygnal (R)^[229]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	February 13–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	40%	11%
John Zogby Strategies^[230]	January 2–4, 2024	500 (LV)	–	51%	39%	10%
Emerson College^[231]	December 15–17, 2023	1,094 (RV)	± 2.9%	48%	40%	12%
Emerson College^[232]	October 1–4, 2023	464 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	34%	22%
Cygnal (R)^[233]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	September 28–29, 2023	506 (LV)	± 4.3%	47%	38%	15%
Emerson College^[234]	September 7–9, 2023	896 (RV)	± 3.2%	50%	39%	11%
HarrisX^[235]^{[upper-alpha 46]}	August 17–21, 2023	1,952 (LV)	–	47%	41%	12%
Big Data Poll (R)^[236]	July 9–12, 2023	1,057 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	36%	22%
Emerson College^[237]	May 19–22, 2023	1,064 (RV)	± 2.9%	49%	38%	13%
Cygnal (R)^[238]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	April 3–4, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	40%	14%
Emerson College^[239]	October 2–4, 2022	959 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	39%	14%
Cygnal (R)^[240]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	October 2–4, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	41%	8%
Cygnal (R)^[241]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	July 13–14, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	40%	9%
Cygnal (R)^[242]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	February 20–22, 2022	610 (LV)	± 3.9%	53%	38%	9%
Selzer & Co.^[243]^{[upper-alpha 45]}	November 7–10, 2021	658 (LV)	± 3.8%	51%	40%	9%
Cygnal (R)^[244]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	October 18–19, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	54%	41%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Selzer & Co.^[245]^{[upper-alpha 45]}	June 9–14, 2024	632 (LV)	± 3.9%	50%	32%	9%	2%	7%^{[lower-alpha 37]}

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College^[234]	September 7–9, 2023	896 (RV)	± 3.2%	48%	35%	5%	12%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom <templatestyles src="template:row hover highlight/styles.css"/>

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[233]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	September 28–29, 2023	506 (LV)	± 4.3%	48%	34%	18%

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	405 (LV)	–	39%	45%	16%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	405 (LV)	–	50%	39%	11%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden <templatestyles src="template:row hover highlight/styles.css"/>

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Big Data Poll (R)^[236]	July 9–12, 2023	1,057 (LV)	± 3.0%	38%	36%	26%
Emerson College^[237]	May 19–22, 2023	1,064 (RV)	± 2.9%	45%	38%	17%
Cygnal (R)^[238]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	April 3–4, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	38%	14%

Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden <templatestyles src="template:row hover highlight/styles.css"/>

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[233]^{[upper-alpha 44]}	September 28–29, 2023	506 (LV)	± 4.3%	49%	33%	18%

Kansas

2024 United States presidential election in Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

2024 United States presidential election in Maine

Maryland

2024 United States presidential election in Maryland

Massachusetts

2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

Michigan

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 38]}	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.6%	46.8%	4.6%	Harris +1.8%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	47.0%	5.0%	Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.4%	47.2%	4.4%	Harris +1.2%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.7%	48.3%	3.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			48.4%	47.3%	4.3%	Harris 1.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel^[24]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Research Co.^[246]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	47%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[247]	November 1–3, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
Patriot Polling^[248]	November 1–3, 2024	858 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[249]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	6%^{[lower-alpha 39]}
AtlasIntel^[29]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College^[250]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	790 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[250]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	790 (LV)	± 3.4%	51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	–
Mitchell Research^[251]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	48%	2%
New York Times/Siena College^[252]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	45%	45%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[252]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[253]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	733 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	46%	6%^{[lower-alpha 40]}
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[253]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	714 (LV)	± 3.6%	49%	47%	4%^{[lower-alpha 41]}
ActiVote^[254]	October 8 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[255]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	October 24 – November 1, 2024	908 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
AtlasIntel^[34]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48.7%	49.3%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[256]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	50%	46%	4%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.9%	50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult^[257]	October 22−31, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Marist College^[258]	October 27–30, 2024	1,356 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%	48%	1%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Marist College^[258]	October 27–30, 2024	1,214 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Echelon Insights^[259]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	48%	4%
Mitchell Research^[260]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	October 28–29, 2024	– (LV)	± 2.5%	47%	48%	5%
AtlasIntel^[39]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Quantus Insights (R)^[261]^{[upper-alpha 48]}	October 26–28, 2024	844 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	49%	2%
The Washington Post^[262]	October 24–28, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.7%	45%	47%	8%
The Washington Post^[262]	October 24–28, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	46%	7%
Fox News^[263]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	50%	48%	2%
Fox News^[263]	October 24–28, 2024	988 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[264]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	48%	5%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
Emerson College^[265]^{[upper-alpha 49]}	October 25–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[265]^{[upper-alpha 49]}	October 25–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Susquehanna Polling & Research^[266]	October 23–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	47%	1%
Patriot Polling^[267]	October 24–26, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
CES/YouGov^[268]	October 1–25, 2024	2,347 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
CES/YouGov^[268]	October 1–25, 2024	2,336 (LV)	–	51%	46%	3%
Quinnipiac University^[269]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[270]	October 18−20, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10%^{[lower-alpha 39]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	705 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	46%	4%
The Bullfinch Group^[271]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	45%	2%
The Bullfinch Group^[271]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	43%	6%^{[lower-alpha 42]}
AtlasIntel^[49]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
RMG Research^[272]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	October 10–16, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%^{[lower-alpha 43]}
RMG Research^[272]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	October 10–16, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	2%
Morning Consult^[257]	October 6−15, 2024	1,065 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Washington Post/Schar School^[273]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	47%	7%
Washington Post/Schar School^[273]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	687 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	47%	4%
Mitchell Research^[274]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[275]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	October 9–14, 2024	1,058 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)^[276]^{[upper-alpha 3]}	October 10–13, 2024	692 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	48%	3%
Michigan State University/YouGov^[277]	September 23 – October 10, 2024	845 (LV)	–	52%	48%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[278]	October 8–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)^[279]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[280]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
ActiVote^[281]	September 15 – October 9, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Emerson College^[282]	October 5–8, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	49%	49%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[282]	October 5–8, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	–
Wall Street Journal^[56]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	49%	47%	4%
Research Co.^[283]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	46%	44%	10%^{[lower-alpha 44]}
Research Co.^[283]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	1%^{[lower-alpha 44]}
Quinnipiac University^[284]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[285]^{[upper-alpha 8]}	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
Mitchell Research^[286]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[287]	September 28–30, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	47%	9%^{[lower-alpha 39]}
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)^[65]^{[upper-alpha 12]}	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	49%	4%
RMG Research^[288]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	September 24–27, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%^{[lower-alpha 14]}
RMG Research^[288]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	September 24–27, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	47%	3%
New York Times/Siena College^[289]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[289]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
AtlasIntel^[67]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[68]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies^[290]^{[upper-alpha 50]}	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	45%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[291]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	September 19−22, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College^[292]	September 15–18, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	4%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[292]	September 15–18, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.2%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Morning Consult^[257]	September 9−18, 2024	1,297 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Marist College^[293]	September 12−17, 2024	1,282 (RV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Marist College^[293]	September 12−17, 2024	1,138 (LV)	± 3.4%	52%	47%	1%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Quinnipiac University^[294]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	46%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[295]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
Mitchell Research^[296]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Morning Consult^[257]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,368 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)^[297]	September 4–6, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov^[298]	September 3–6, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	49%	1%
Patriot Polling^[299]	September 1–3, 2024	822 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Cygnal (R)^[300]	August 28 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[301]	August 28–30, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6%
Emerson College^[302]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	47%	3%^{[lower-alpha 45]}
Emerson College^[302]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	1%^{[lower-alpha 46]}
ActiVote^[303]	July 28 – August 28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
EPIC-MRA^[304]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[305]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[305]	August 23–26, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov^[306]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	44%	12%^{[lower-alpha 47]}
YouGov^[306]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	48%	5%
TIPP Insights^[307]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	46%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R)^[308]^{[upper-alpha 52]}	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[309]^{[upper-alpha 17]}	August 13–19, 2024	1,093 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata^[310]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	47%	–
The Bullfinch Group^[311]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[312]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[313]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[314]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	48%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[314]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	46%	5%
Navigator Research (D)^[315]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[316]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	49%	46%	6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[317]^{[upper-alpha 19]}	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[318]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)^[319]^{[upper-alpha 54]}	July 25–26, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	49%	5%
Fox News^[320]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College^[321]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	46%	9%
Emerson College^[321]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[323]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[324]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[324]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel^[24]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	–	2%	0%	–
AtlasIntel^[29]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
New York Times/Siena College^[252]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	44%	1%	2%	2%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[252]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	45%	0%	2%	1%	7%
Focaldata^[325]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,092 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	1%	1%	3%
		1,941 (RV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%
		2,092 (A)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel^[34]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[326]	October 28–31, 2024	1,731 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	45%	0%	2%	–	6%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	45%	0%	2%	–	5%
AtlasIntel^[39]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[327]	October 25–27, 2024	728 (LV)	–	49%	48%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[328]	October 20–22, 2024	1,115 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Quinnipiac University^[269]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	1%	1%	0%	3%^{[lower-alpha 48]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	–	1%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	705 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[329]	October 16–18, 2024	1,008 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[330]	October 12–14, 2024	682 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University^[284]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	1%^{[lower-alpha 48]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[331]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	839 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
New York Times/Siena College^[289]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[289]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	–	2%	1%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	45%	–	1%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	46%	–	1%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R)^[332]^{[upper-alpha 55]}	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	0%	1%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[333]	September 16–19, 2024	993 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	0%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University^[294]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	45%	0%	2%	0%	3%^{[lower-alpha 48]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[334]	September 6–9, 2024	556 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	1%	5%
YouGov^[335]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	43%	1%	1%	–	7%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[336]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	47%	44%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[305]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[305]	August 23–26, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr.^{[lower-alpha 49]} Natural Law	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 17]}	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 7, 2024	October 13, 2024	47.0%	46.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.6%	N/A	2.7%	Harris +0.1%
270toWin	October 7 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	47.0%	46.6%	2.3%	0.3%	1.0%	0.8%	2.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			47.0%	46.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.8%	0.8%	1.9%	Harris +0.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Mitchell Research^[251]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	0%	1%	1%	1%	–
Echelon Insights^[259]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5%
EPIC-MRA^[337]^{[upper-alpha 56]}	October 24–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	3%	1%	3%	–	–
Fox News^[263]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	49%	45%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
Fox News^[263]	October 24–28, 2024	988 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
CNN/SSRS^[338]	October 23–28, 2024	726 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%
Suffolk University/USA Today^[339]	October 24–27, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%^{[lower-alpha 50]}
Glengariff Group^[340]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	October 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	4%	–	2%	1%	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov^[341]	October 16–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	45%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%^{[lower-alpha 50]}
AtlasIntel^[49]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Mitchell Research^[274]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%
Marketing Resource Group^[342]	October 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	3%	–	2%	–	6%^{[lower-alpha 51]}
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[280]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%
Wall Street Journal^[56]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Glengariff Group^[343]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	October 1–4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	5%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Mitchell Research^[286]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%^{[lower-alpha 50]}
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)^[65]^{[upper-alpha 12]}	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel^[67]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	0%	–	2%	0%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[68]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	49%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov^[344]	September 11–19, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	2%	–	2%	2%	3%^{[lower-alpha 52]}
Suffolk University/USA Today^[345]	September 16–18, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	45%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%^{[lower-alpha 50]}
Mitchell Research^[296]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	2%	0%	1%	–	4%^{[lower-alpha 50]}
CNN/SSRS^[346]	August 23–29, 2024	708 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	43%	4%	–	1%	1%	3%
Z to A Research (D)^[347]^{[upper-alpha 58]}	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	3%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov^[306]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	42%	5%	1%	0%	1%	7%^{[lower-alpha 53]}
YouGov^[306]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	46%	4%	0%	0%	0%	3%
TIPP Insights^[307]^{[upper-alpha 15]}	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	45%	5%	1%	1%	–	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[309]^{[upper-alpha 17]}	August 13–17, 2024	1,093 (LV)	–	47%	44%	4%	1%	1%	–	3%
Focaldata^[310]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	–
		702 (RV)		50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (A)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[348]	August 12–15, 2024	530 (LV)	–	44%	45%	5%	–	1%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group^[311]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	40%	7%	1%	1%	–	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[312]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	6%	1%	1%	0%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[314]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	43%	5%	0%	1%	0%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[314]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (LV)	± 4.8%	48%	43%	4%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Navigator Research (D)^[315]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	5%	1%	0%	0%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[316]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	46%	44%	6%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[349]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	771 (LV)	–	41%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[318]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	39%	5%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News^[320]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	7%	1%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[350]	July 22–24, 2024	512 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	–	0%	0%	8%
Glengariff Group^[351]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	41%	10%	–	1%	1%	5%
Emerson College^[321]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	44%	5%	1%	1%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Glengariff Group^[352]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	August 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	5%	1%	5%
EPIC-MRA^[304]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	3%	1%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[353]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	41%	46%	5%	1%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)^[308]^{[upper-alpha 52]}	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	43%	5%	8%
Civiqs^[354]^{[upper-alpha 58]}	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	46%	46%	5%	3%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

800px

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[353]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	49%	5%
EPIC-MRA^[355]^{[upper-alpha 56]}	July 13–17, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	49%	9%
Emerson College^[356]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	45%	13%
Marketing Resource Group^[357]	July 11–13, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	39%	25%^{[lower-alpha 54]}
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	47%	7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[358]^{[upper-alpha 25]}	July 5–12, 2024	1,025 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	8%
Echelon Insights^[129]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	July 1–8, 2024	607 (LV)	± 5.2%	45%	48%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[359]	July 1–5, 2024	694 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	43%	9%
Emerson College^[360]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	June 30 – July 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	45%	12%
Remington Research Group (R)^[361]	June 29 – July 1, 2024	584 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	45%	13%
EPIC-MRA^[362]^{[upper-alpha 56]}	June 21–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	49%	6%
Emerson College^[363]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	46%	9%
Emerson College^[363]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	–
Mitchell Research^[364]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	June 3, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[365]	May 30–31, 2024	723 (RV)	± 3.6%	45%	45%	10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[365]	May 30–31, 2024	636 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	46%	7%
Mitchell Research^[366]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	May 20–21, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	49%	4%
KAConsulting (R)^[367]^{[upper-alpha 59]}	May 15–19, 2024	600 (RV)	–	44%	45%	11%
Prime Group^[368]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	May 9–16, 2024	482 (RV)	–	52%	48%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[323]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[369]	May 6–13, 2024	606 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[370]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	616 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	49%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[370]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	616 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Emerson College^[371]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	45%	11%
Emerson College^[371]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
CBS News/YouGov^[372]	April 19–25, 2024	1,262 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	49%	–
Kaplan Strategies^[373]	April 20–21, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.5%	36%	51%	13%
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	640 (LV)	–	48%	45%	7%
Fox News^[374]	April 11–16, 2024	1,126 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[375]	April 8–15, 2024	708 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	8%
Marketing Resource Group^[376]	April 8–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	42%	22%^{[lower-alpha 54]}
The Bullfinch Group^[377]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	March 29 – April 3, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	39%	19%
Big Data Poll (R)^[378]	March 26–30, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 2.6%	42%	44%	14%^{[lower-alpha 55]}
		1,218 (RV)		44%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	45%	11%^{[lower-alpha 56]}
		1,218 (RV)		41%	46%	13%
		1,145 (LV)		43%	44%	13%^{[lower-alpha 55]}
		1,145 (LV)		45%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	46%	9%^{[lower-alpha 57]}
		1,145 (LV)		43%	46%	11%
		1,145 (LV)		48.5%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51.5%	–
Spry Strategies (R)^[379]	March 25–28, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	44%	48%	8%
Wall Street Journal^[380]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	48%	7%
Echelon Insights^[381]^{[upper-alpha 60]}	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.3%	45%	51%	4%
Emerson College^[382]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	45%	11%
Emerson College^[382]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	–
CNN/SSRS^[383]	March 13–18, 2024	1,097 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	50%	8%
Mitchell Research^[384]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	March 15–16, 2024	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	47%	9%
Quinnipiac University^[385]	March 8–12, 2024	1,487 (RV)	± 2.5%	45%	48%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[386]	March 8–12, 2024	698 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	10%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[387]^{[upper-alpha 61]}	February 22–25, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	13%
Kaplan Strategies^[388]	February 22−23, 2024	1,019 (RV)	± 3.1%	36%	46%	18%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[389]	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	46%	10%
Emerson College^[390]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	46%	10%
EPIC-MRA^[391]	February 13–18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	45%	14%
Fox News^[392]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Focaldata^[393]	January 17–23, 2024	863 (A)	–	41%	43%	16%^{[lower-alpha 58]}
		– (LV)		45%	44%	11%^{[lower-alpha 59]}
		– (LV)		51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[394]	January 16–21, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	47%	7%
Target Insyght^[395]	January 4–10, 2024	800 (RV)	–	45%	41%	14%
Glengariff Group^[396]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	47%	14%
John Zogby Strategies^[397]	January 2–4, 2024	602 (LV)	–	44%	47%	9%
CNN/SSRS^[398]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	40%	50%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[399]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
Big Data Poll (R)^[400]	November 16–19, 2023	1,273 (RV)	± 2.7%	36%	41%	23%^{[lower-alpha 60]}
Big Data Poll (R)^[400]	November 16–19, 2023	1,200 (LV)	± 2.7%	37%	42%	21%^{[lower-alpha 61]}
EPIC-MRA^[401]	November 10–16, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	46%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[402]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	14%
Emerson College^[403]	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	41%	16%
New York Times/Siena College^[324]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[324]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	46%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[404]	October 5–10, 2023	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[405]	October 7–9, 2023	820 (LV)	–	41%	41%	17%
Marketing Resource Group^[406]	October 2–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	35%	42%	22%
Emerson College^[407]	October 1–4, 2023	468 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	43%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[408]^{[upper-alpha 62]}	September 26–27, 2023	679 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	44%	8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research^[409]	September 7–12, 2023	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	43%	11%
EPIC-MRA^[410]	August 6–11, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Emerson College^[411]	August 1–2, 2023	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	44%	13%
Mitchell Research^[412]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	July 11–13, 2023	639 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[413]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	Jul 8–10, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	45%	44%	9%
Prime Group^[414]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
Prime Group^[414]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	40%	43%	17%^{[lower-alpha 62]}
EPIC-MRA^[415]	June 8–14, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[416]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	April 17–19, 2023	500 (V)	± 3.6%	45%	42%	12%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[417]^{[upper-alpha 63]}	December 6–7, 2022	763 (V)	± 3.6%	50%	43%	7%
EPIC-MRA^[418]	November 30 – December 6, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	43%	10%
Emerson College^[419]	October 28–31, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College^[420]	October 12–14, 2022	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
EPIC-MRA^[421]^{[upper-alpha 56]}	September 15–19, 2022	600 (LV)	–	48%	44%	8%
Blueprint Polling (D)^[422]	August 15–16, 2022	611 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	41%	19%
Blueprint Polling (D)^[423]	February 1–4, 2022	632 (LV)	± 3.9%	38%	40%	22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[424]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	53%	6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)^[425]	July 15–17, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	43%	45%	4%	1%	1%	6%
EPIC-MRA^[355]	July 13–17, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	43%	8%	2%	2%	9%
Emerson College^[356]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	43%	7%	1%	1%	8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[358]^{[upper-alpha 25]}	July 5–12, 2024	1,025 (LV)	± 3.0%	43%	44%	7%	0%	1%	5%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
YouGov^[426]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	July 4–12, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	40%	42%	4%	1%	1%	12%
Echelon Insights^[129]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	July 1–8, 2024	607 (LV)	± 5.2%	40%	43%	8%	2%	2%	5%^{[lower-alpha 63]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[359]	July 1–5, 2024	694 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	39%	6%	2%	1%	7%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
EPIC-MRA^[362]	June 21–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	38%	42%	10%	2%	2%	6%
Emerson College^[363]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	44%	5%	1%	1%	7%
Mitchell Research^[364]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	June 3, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	46%	3%	1%	1%	4%
Mitchell Research^[366]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	May 20–21, 2024	697 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	46%	5%	1%	1%	2%
KAConsulting (R)^[367]^{[upper-alpha 59]}	May 15–19, 2024	600 (RV)	–	41%	42%	7%	2%	1%	7%^{[lower-alpha 64]}
Prime Group^[368]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	May 9–16, 2024	482 (RV)	–	44%	42%	10%	2%	2%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[323]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	40%	7%	1%	2%	8%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[369]	May 6–13, 2024	606 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	43%	7%	2%	2%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[370]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	616 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	38%	9%	0%	1%	16%^{[lower-alpha 64]}
New York Times/Siena College^[370]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	616 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	39%	7%	0%	1%	11%^{[lower-alpha 64]}
Emerson College^[371]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	43%	5%	1%	1%	8%
Fox News^[374]	April 11–16, 2024	1,126 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	42%	9%	2%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[375]	April 8–15, 2024	708 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	40%	7%	1%	1%	8%
Marketing Resource Group^[376]	April 8–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	34%	37%	13%	2%	1%	13%
Wall Street Journal^[380]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	39%	12%	2%	2%	8%
Emerson College^[382]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	43%	5%	1%	1%	10%
Mitchell Research^[384]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	March 15–16, 2024	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	42%	44%	6%	1%	1%	6%
Quinnipiac University^[385]	March 8–12, 2024	1,487 (RV)	± 2.5%	36%	41%	10%	3%	4%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[386]	March 8–12, 2024	698 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	40%	9%	3%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[389]	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	41%	9%	1%	1%	8%
Emerson College^[390]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	42%	6%	1%	1%	11%
Fox News^[392]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	42%	11%	2%	3%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[427]	January 16–21, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	43%	8%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[428]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	39%	10%	2%	1%	13%
Big Data Poll (R)^[400]	November 16–19, 2023	1,273 (RV)	± 2.7%	36%	39%	9%	1%	1%	14%^{[lower-alpha 65]}
Big Data Poll (R)^[400]	November 16–19, 2023	1,200 (LV)	± 2.7%	37%	41%	9%	1%	1%	11%^{[lower-alpha 66]}

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Civiqs^[354]^{[upper-alpha 58]}	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	43%	46%	5%	6%
1983 Labs^[429]	June 28–30, 2024	563 (LV)	± 4.1%	41%	45%	5%	9%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
P2 Insights^[430]^{[upper-alpha 37]}	June 11–20, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	40%	43%	8%	9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[365]	May 30–31, 2024	723 (RV)	± 3.6%	41%	39%	11%	9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[365]	May 30–31, 2024	636 (LV)	± 3.6%	44%	43%	8%	5%
P2 Insights^[431]^{[upper-alpha 37]}	May 13−21, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	37%	45%	7%	11%
Big Data Poll (R)^[378]	March 26–30, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 2.6%	40%	44%	7%	9%^{[lower-alpha 67]}
		1,218 (RV)		41%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	45%	8%	6%^{[lower-alpha 68]}
		1,145 (LV)		41%	44%	7%	13%^{[lower-alpha 69]}
		1,145 (LV)		42%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	45%	8%	5%^{[lower-alpha 70]}
Spry Strategies (R)^[379]	March 25–28, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	40%	43%	9%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[432]	March 14–17, 2024	616 (LV)	–	39%	41%	6%	14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[433]	December 28–30, 2023	832 (LV)	–	37%	39%	9%	15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[434]	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	38%	39%	9%	13%
Big Data Poll (R)^[400]	November 16–19, 2023	1,273 (RV)	± 2.7%	35%	40%	9%	16%^{[lower-alpha 71]}
Big Data Poll (R)^[400]	November 16–19, 2023	1,200 (LV)	± 2.7%	36%	41%	8%	11%^{[lower-alpha 72]}
New York Times/Siena College^[435]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	31%	34%	26%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[435]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (LV)	± 4.4%	34%	34%	25%	7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[405]	October 7–9, 2023	820 (LV)	–	38%	40%	7%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[353]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	44%	45%	5%	3%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[436]	July 16–18, 2024	437 (LV)	–	41%	42%	6%	1%	10%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[437]	July 8–10, 2024	465 (LV)	–	43%	42%	6%	0%	9%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[438]	June 8–11, 2024	719 (LV)	–	36%	37%	8%	1%	18%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[439]	May 2–4, 2024	650 (LV)	–	37%	43%	7%	1%	12%
CBS News/YouGov^[372]	April 19–25, 2024	1,262 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	43%	9%	3%	0%
Big Data Poll (R)^[378]	March 26–30, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 2.6%	40%	43%	10%	1%	6%
		1,218 (RV)		42%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	44%	11%	3%	–
		1,145 (LV)		41%	44%	9%	1%	5%
		1,145 (LV)		43%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	44%	11%	2%	–

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS^[383]	March 13–18, 2024	1,097 (RV)	± 3.6%	34%	40%	18%	4%	4%
CNN/SSRS^[398]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	31%	39%	20%	6%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[440]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	37%	10%	2%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College^[411]	August 1–2, 2023	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	41%	43%	4%	11%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	640 (LV)	–	45%	44%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	640 (LV)	–	42%	41%	17%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	44%	45%	11%
Glengariff Group^[396]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	45%	15%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News^[320]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2%
Glengariff Group^[351]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	40%	17%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	52%	45%	3%
Emerson College/The Hill^[382]	Mar 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	45%	5%
Glengariff Group^[396]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Marketing Resource Group^[406]	October 2–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	40%	13%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[353]^{[upper-alpha 21]}	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	45%	5%	1%	3%

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	JB Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	39%	45%	16%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Josh Shapiro Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News^[320]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	43%	46%	11%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Pete Buttigieg Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[322]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	43%	48%	9%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News^[392]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	43%	15%
Glengariff Group^[396]^{[upper-alpha 57]}	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	34%	44%	22%
CNN/SSRS^[398]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	38%	50%	12%
EPIC-MRA^[401]	November 10–16, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	47%	17%
New York Times/Siena College^[435]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	35%	45%	20%
New York Times/Siena College^[435]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (LV)	± 4.4%	36%	46%	18%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News^[392]	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	35%	26%	23%	3%	3%	33%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[434]	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	37%	25%	18%	20%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS^[398]	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%	49%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[435]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	42%	16%
New York Times/Siena College^[435]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	43%	13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research^[409]	September 7–12, 2023	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	42%	10%
Mitchell Research^[412]^{[upper-alpha 47]}	July 11–13, 2023	639 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	31%	25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[413]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	July 8–10, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	44%	46%	7%
EPIC-MRA^[415]	June 8–14, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[416]^{[upper-alpha 34]}	April 17–19, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	45%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[434]	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	39%	30%	13%	2%	15%

Minnesota

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

2024 United States presidential election in Missouri

Montana

2024 United States presidential election in Montana

Nebraska

2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska

Nevada

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

New Hampshire

2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

New Jersey

2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

New Mexico

2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico

New York

2024 United States presidential election in New York

North Carolina

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

North Dakota

2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota

Ohio

2024 United States presidential election in Ohio

Oklahoma

2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

Oregon

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[441]^{[upper-alpha 64]}	October 16–17, 2024	716 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	41%	6%
Hoffman Research^[442]	July 24–26, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	44%	7%

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Hoffman Research^[442]	July 24–26, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	40%	7%	1%	7%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
The Bullfinch Group^[443]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	April 16–23, 2024	250 (RV)	± 6.2%	52%	40%	8%
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	419 (LV)	–	47%	44%	9%
Emerson College^[444]	October 31 – November 1, 2022	975 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	35%	14%
Emerson College^[445]	September 30 – October 1, 2022	796 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	41%	9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
The Bullfinch Group^[443]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	April 16–23, 2024	250 (RV)	± 6.2%	40%	29%	19%	1%	3%	8%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	419 (LV)	–	40%	49%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	419 (LV)	–	42%	39%	19%

Pennsylvania

2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

South Carolina

2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina

South Dakota

2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota

Tennessee

2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee

Texas

2024 United States presidential election in Texas

Utah

2024 United States presidential election in Utah

Vermont

2024 United States presidential election in Vermont

Virginia

2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

Washington

2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

West Virginia

2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia

Wisconsin

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 73]}	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.8%	47.7%	3.5%	Harris +1.1%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.3%	47.3%	4.4%	Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.7%	47.7%	3.6%	Harris +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.4%	48.7%	2.9%	Trump +0.3%
Average			48.6%	47.9%	3.5%	Harris +0.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel^[24]	November 3–4, 2024	869 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Research Co.^[446]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	46%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[447]	November 1–3, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	47%	5%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
Patriot Polling^[448]	November 1–3, 2024	835 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[449]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
AtlasIntel^[29]	November 1–2, 2024	728 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	50%	1%
Emerson College^[450]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	49%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[450]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[451]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%^{[lower-alpha 74]}
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[451]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	786 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%^{[lower-alpha 74]}
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,305 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,305 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%
ActiVote^[452]	October 10 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
AtlasIntel^[34]	October 30–31, 2024	673 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[453]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	889 (RV)	± 4.5%	51%	47%	2%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	876 (LV)	± 4.5%	51%	47%	2%
Morning Consult^[454]	October 22−31, 2024	540 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
TIPP Insights^[455]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	October 28–30, 2024	1,038 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	46%	6%
TIPP Insights^[455]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	October 28–30, 2024	831 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%
Marist College^[456]	October 27–30, 2024	1,444 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	48%	2%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Marist College^[456]	October 27–30, 2024	1,330 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Echelon Insights^[259]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	49%	2%
Quantus Insights (R)^[457]^{[upper-alpha 66]}	October 28–29, 2024	637 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	49%	2%
SoCal Strategies (R)^[458]^{[upper-alpha 3]}	October 28–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[459]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	October 25–29, 2024	818 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
AtlasIntel^[39]	October 25–29, 2024	1,470 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
CNN/SSRS^[460]	October 23–28, 2024	736 (LV)	± 4.8%	51%	45%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[461]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
CES/YouGov^[462]	October 1–25, 2024	1,552 (A)	–	51%	46%	3%
CES/YouGov^[462]	October 1–25, 2024	1,542 (LV)	–	50%	47%	3%
Marquette University Law School^[463]	October 16–24, 2024	834 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
		834 (RV)		51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	–
		753 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
		753 (LV)		50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	1%
Emerson College^[464]^{[upper-alpha 67]}	October 21–22, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[464]^{[upper-alpha 67]}	October 21–22, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Quinnipiac University^[269]	October 17–21, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[465]	October 18−20, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	624 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
The Bullfinch Group^[466]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
The Bullfinch Group^[466]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	7%^{[lower-alpha 75]}
AtlasIntel^[49]	October 12–17, 2024	932 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
RMG Research^[467]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	October 10−16, 2024	787 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 76]}
RMG Research^[467]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	October 10−16, 2024	787 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%
Morning Consult^[454]	October 6−15, 2024	527 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Washington Post/Schar School^[468]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	695 (RV)	± 4.6%	50%	46%	4%
Washington Post/Schar School^[468]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	695 (LV)	± 4.6%	50%	47%	3%
Patriot Polling^[469]	October 12–14, 2024	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[470]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	October 9–14, 2024	1,004 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[471]	October 8–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)^[472]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Emerson College^[473]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[473]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Wall Street Journal^[56]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	48%	4%
Research Co.^[474]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	47%	45%	8%^{[lower-alpha 44]}
Research Co.^[474]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	2%^{[lower-alpha 44]}
Quinnipiac University^[284]	October 3–7, 2024	1,073 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Arc Insights^[475]^{[upper-alpha 68]}	October 2–6, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	48%	5%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[476]^{[upper-alpha 8]}	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	47%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[477]	September 28–30, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)^[65]^{[upper-alpha 12]}	September 23–29, 2024	408 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	46%	6%
ActiVote^[478]	August 29 – September 29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
New York Times/Siena College^[479]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[479]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Marquette University Law School^[480]	September 18–26, 2024	882 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	45%	5%
		882 (RV)		52%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	–
		798 (LV)		50%	45%	5%
		798 (LV)		52%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	–
AtlasIntel^[67]	September 20–25, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[68]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	849 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	785 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies^[481]^{[upper-alpha 69]}	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	45%	4%
RMG Research^[482]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	September 17–23, 2024	788 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[483]^{[upper-alpha 5]}	September 19−22, 2024	1,071 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	1%
Emerson College^[484]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Emerson College^[484]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
MassINC Polling Group^[485]^{[upper-alpha 70]}	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.8%	53%	46%	1%
Morning Consult^[454]	September 9−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	44%	6%
Marist College^[486]	September 12−17, 2024	1,312 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%^{[lower-alpha 77]}
Marist College^[486]	September 12−17, 2024	1,194 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	49%	1%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Quinnipiac University^[294]	September 12–16, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[487]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	September 11–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[488]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
Morning Consult^[454]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	638 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)^[489]	September 4–6, 2024	917 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov^[490]	September 3–6, 2024	946 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	49%	–
Marquette University Law School^[491]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	822 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%	45%	6%
		822 (RV)	± 4.6%	52%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	–
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	49%	44%	7%
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	52%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	–
Patriot Polling^[492]	September 1–3, 2024	826 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)^[493]	August 28–30, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
Emerson College^[494]	August 25–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3%
Emerson College^[494]	August 25–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[495]	August 23–26, 2024	648 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	44%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[495]	August 23–26, 2024	701 (RV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	4%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov^[496]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.3%	48%	42%	10%^{[lower-alpha 78]}
YouGov^[496]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	– (LV)	± 5.9%	51%	46%	3%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies^[497]^{[upper-alpha 71]}	August 19–21, 2024	600 (LV)	–	48%	45%	7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)^[498]^{[upper-alpha 52]}	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	45%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)^[84]^{[upper-alpha 16]}	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[499]^{[upper-alpha 17]}	August 13–19, 2024	1,099 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata^[500]	August 6–16, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	48%	–
Quantus Insights (R)^[501]^{[upper-alpha 66]}	August 14–15, 2024	601 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
TIPP Insights^[502]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	August 12–14, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.4%	47%	46%	7%
TIPP Insights^[502]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	August 12–14, 2024	976 (LV)	± 3.4%	47%	47%	6%
The Bullfinch Group^[503]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	51%	42%	7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)^[504]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	49%	3%
Navigator Research (D)^[505]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[506]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	404 (LV)	–	49%	46%	5%
New York Times/Siena College^[507]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.3%	50%	46%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[507]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (LV)	± 4.3%	50%	46%	3%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research ^[508]^{[upper-alpha 7]}	July 31 – August 5, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	7%
Marquette University Law School^[509]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	47%	44%	9%
		877 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	49%	45%	6%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[510]^{[upper-alpha 19]}	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	46%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[511]	July 24–28, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Fox News^[512]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Emerson College^[513]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	47%	47%	6%
Emerson College^[513]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[515]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	July 6–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[516]	May 7–13, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	49%	10%
Emerson College^[517]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[518]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	46%	47%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[518]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.8%	46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel^[24]	November 3–4, 2024	869 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	1%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
AtlasIntel^[29]	November 1–2, 2024	728 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	2%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,305 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	0%	2%	0%	5%
New York Times/Siena College^[31]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,305 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	0%	1%	0%	6%
Focaldata^[519]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,799 (LV)	–	50%	47%	–	0%	1%	2%
		1,613 (RV)	± 2.3%	51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,799 (A)	–	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel^[34]	October 30–31, 2024	673 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[520]	October 28–31, 2024	932 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	889 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%	45%	0%	3%	–	4%
YouGov^[36]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	October 25–31, 2024	876 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	45%	0%	2%	–	4%
AtlasIntel^[39]	October 25–29, 2024	1,470 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[521]	October 25–27, 2024	746 (LV)	–	49%	47%	–	0%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[522]	October 20–22, 2024	557 (LV)	–	49%	47%	–	0%	1%	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)^[523]^{[upper-alpha 72]}	October 19–22, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
Quinnipiac University^[269]	October 17–21, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	0%	0%	0%	4%^{[lower-alpha 79]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	3%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[47]	October 16–20, 2024	624 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	3%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[524]	October 16–18, 2024	622 (LV)	–	47%	46%	–	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[525]	October 12–14, 2024	641 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Quinnipiac University^[284]	October 3–7, 2024	1,073 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	0%	1%	1%	4%^{[lower-alpha 79]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[526]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	533 (LV)	–	47%	46%	–	0%	1%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[479]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	–	1%	2%	4%
New York Times/Siena College^[479]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	849 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[69]	September 19–25, 2024	785 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	–	0%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R)^[527]^{[upper-alpha 55]}	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[528]	September 16–19, 2024	600 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	0%	6%
Quinnipiac University^[294]	September 12–16, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	1%	1%	3%^{[lower-alpha 79]}
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[529]	September 6–9, 2024	626 (LV)	–	49%	46%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov^[530]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.1%	47%	44%	1%	1%	–	7%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
CNN/SSRS^[531]	August 23–29, 2024	976 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	44%	0%	2%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[532]	August 25–28, 2024	672 (LV)	–	48%	44%	–	0%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[495]	August 23–26, 2024	648 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	–	1%	1%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[495]	August 23–26, 2024	701 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr.^{[lower-alpha 80]} Independent	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 17]}	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 7, 2024	October 13, 2024	47.7%	46.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.2%	1.1%	2.3%	Harris +1.4%
270toWin	October 2 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	47.0%	45.7%	2.5%	0.3%	0.6%	0.8%	3.1%	Harris +1.3%
Average			47.4%	46.0%	2.0%	0.6%	0.4%	1.0%	2.6%	Harris +1.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
TIPP Insights^[455]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	October 28–30, 2024	1,038 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	44%	3%	1%	1%	–	5%
TIPP Insights^[455]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	October 28–30, 2024	831 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	3%	1%	1%	–	–
Echelon Insights^[259]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	48%	0%	0%	1%	0%	3%
CNN/SSRS^[533]	October 23–28, 2024	736 (LV)	± 4.8%	51%	45%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%
Marquette University Law School^[463]	October 16–24, 2024	834 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	43%	5%	1%	1%	2%	2%^{[lower-alpha 79]}
Marquette University Law School^[463]	October 16–24, 2024	753 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	44%	5%	1%	1%	2%	1%^{[lower-alpha 79]}
USA Today/Suffolk University^[534]^[535]	October 20–23, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	48%	1%	0%	1%	0%	3%^{[lower-alpha 79]}
AtlasIntel^[49]	October 12–17, 2024	932 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	1%	–	0%	1%	1%
Wall Street Journal^[56]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	46%	45%	3%	1%	0%	0%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)^[65]^{[upper-alpha 12]}	September 23–29, 2024	408 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	45%	2%	1%	0%	1%	5%
Marquette University Law School^[480]	September 18–26, 2024	882 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	44%	3%	0%	1%	1%	3%^{[lower-alpha 81]}
Marquette University Law School^[480]	September 18–26, 2024	798 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	44%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2%^{[lower-alpha 81]}
AtlasIntel^[67]	September 20–25, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	0%	0%	1%	1%	–
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[68]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	48%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	3%
MassINC Polling Group^[485]^{[upper-alpha 70]}	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.8%	51%	45%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[487]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	September 11–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	2%	0%	1%	0%	4%^{[lower-alpha 48]}
Marquette University Law School^[491]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	822 (RV)	± 4.6%	47%	43%	6%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Marquette University Law School^[491]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	738 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	6%	1%	1%	1%	1%^{[lower-alpha 82]}
Z to A Research (D)^[536]^{[upper-alpha 58]}	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	2%	–	0%	1%	3%
YouGov^[496]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.3%	45%	40%	4%	1%	1%	0%	9%^{[lower-alpha 83]}
YouGov^[496]^{[upper-alpha 51]}	August 15–23, 2024	– (LV)	± 5.9%	49%	45%	1%	1%	0%	0%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[499]^{[upper-alpha 17]}	August 13–19, 2024	1,099 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	4%	1%	1%	0%	2%
Focaldata^[500]	August 6–16, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		700 (RV)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
		700 (A)		50%	43%	5%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[537]	August 12–15, 2024	469 (LV)	–	48%	44%	3%	–	0%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group^[503]^{[upper-alpha 53]}	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	40%	3%	1%	1%	–	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[507]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%	42%	6%	0%	1%	1%	2%
New York Times/Siena College^[507]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (LV)	± 4.3%	49%	43%	5%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Navigator Research (D)^[505]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	5%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[506]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	404 (LV)	–	48%	43%	5%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[538]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	597 (LV)	–	43%	43%	3%	–	0%	0%	11%
Marquette University Law School^[509]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	45%	43%	8%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Marquette University Law School^[509]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	801 (LV)	± 4.8%	46%	45%	6%	0%	1%	1%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[511]	July 24–28, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	6%	–	0%	3%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[539]	July 22–24, 2024	523 (LV)	–	44%	44%	5%	–	1%	1%	5%
Fox News^[512]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	5%	1%	1%	–	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)^[84]^{[upper-alpha 16]}	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	42%	3%	2%	7%
Emerson College^[513]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	45%	45%	3%	1%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)^[498]^{[upper-alpha 52]}	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	42%	4%	7%
Civiqs^[540]^{[upper-alpha 58]}	July 13–16, 2024	514 (RV)	± 4.8%	48%	48%	2%	2%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Marquette University Law School^[509]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	42%	47%	11%
Marquette University Law School^[509]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	801 (LV)	± 4.8%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College^[541]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	48%	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[542]^{[upper-alpha 73]}	July 11–12, 2024	653 (V)	± 3.8%	47%	46%	7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[543]^{[upper-alpha 25]}	July 5–12, 2024	1,020 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	47%	47%	6%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[515]^{[upper-alpha 65]}	July 6–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	46%	10%
Echelon Insights^[129]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	July 1–8, 2024	617 (LV)	± 4.7%	45%	47%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[544]	July 1–5, 2024	695 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	9%
SoCal Strategies (R)^[545]^{[upper-alpha 74]}	June 30 – July 2, 2024	490 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	44%	13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[546]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	June 28 – July 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	50%	5%
Emerson College^[547]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	June 30 – July 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Remington Research Group (R)^[548]	June 29 – July 1, 2024	593 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	49%	8%
Marquette University Law School^[549]	June 12–20, 2024	871 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	44%	12%
		871 (RV)	± 4.6%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	–
		784 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	44%	9%
		784 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	–
Emerson College^[550]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College^[550]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[551]	May 30–31, 2024	338 (RV)	± 5.3%	40%	38%	22%^{[lower-alpha 84]}
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[551]	May 30–31, 2024	290 (LV)	± 5.3%	40%	41%	19%^{[lower-alpha 85]}
KAConsulting (R)^[552]^{[upper-alpha 59]}	May 15–19, 2024	600 (RV)	–	45%	45%	10%
Prime Group^[553]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	May 9–16, 2024	488 (RV)	–	51%	49%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[516]	May 7–13, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[554]	May 6–13, 2024	503 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	45%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[555]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	614 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[555]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	614 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Quinnipiac University^[556]	May 2–6, 2024	1,457 (RV)	± 2.6%	50%	44%	6%
Emerson College^[557]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Emerson College^[557]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
Kaplan Strategies^[558]	April 20–21, 2024	802 (RV)	± 3.5%	38%	48%	14%
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	518 (LV)	–	46%	48%	6%
CBS News/YouGov^[559]	April 19–25, 2024	1,226 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	50%	1%
Fox News^[560]	April 11–16, 2024	1,198 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[561]	April 8–15, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	48%	8%
Marquette University Law School^[562]	April 3–10, 2024	814 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	47%	9%
		814 (RV)	± 4.8%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	–
		736 (LV)	± 5.0%	45%	48%	7%
		736 (LV)	± 5.0%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	–
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[563]^{[upper-alpha 23]}	April 6–9, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	10%
Wall Street Journal^[564]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	8%
Echelon Insights^[565]^{[upper-alpha 75]}	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.5%	47%	46%	7%
Emerson College^[566]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	46%	11%
Emerson College^[566]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	52%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[567]	March 8–14, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[568]	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College^[517]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	45%	13%
Kaplan Strategies^[569]	February 23, 2024	941 (RV)	± 3.2%	39%	41%	20%
Marquette University Law School^[570]	January 24–31, 2024	930 (RV)	± 4.2%	44%	44%	12%
		930 (RV)		49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	49%	2%
		808 (LV)		44%	46%	10%
		808 (LV)		49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%
Fox News^[571]	January 26–30, 2024	1,172 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	6%
Focaldata^[572]	January 17–23, 2024	863 (A)	–	38%	43%	19%^{[lower-alpha 86]}
		– (LV)		42%	46%	12%^{[lower-alpha 87]}
		– (LV)		49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	51%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[573]	January 16–21, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	49%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[574]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	681 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	45%	14%
J.L. Partners^[575]^{[upper-alpha 32]}	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	45%	41%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[576]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	675 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Emerson College^[577]	October 30 - November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	43%	44%	13%
Emerson College^[577]	October 30 - November 4, 2023	819 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	45%	10%
New York Times/Siena College^[518]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	47%	45%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[518]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.8%	47%	45%	8%
Marquette University Law School^[578]	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	45%	42%	13%
Marquette University Law School^[578]	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	50%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[579]	October 5–10, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	46%	10%
Emerson College^[580]	October 1–4, 2023	532 (RV)	± 4.2%	40%	42%	19%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[581]^{[upper-alpha 76]}	September 25–26, 2023	673 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	44%	8%
Prime Group^[582]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	53%	47%	–
Prime Group^[582]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	37%	40%	23%^{[lower-alpha 88]}
Marquette University Law School^[583]	June 8–13, 2023	913 (RV)	± 4.3%	48%	38%	14%
Marquette University Law School^[583]	June 8–13, 2023	913 (RV)	± 4.3%	52%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	43%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[584]	April 17–20, 2023	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	43%	9%
Emerson College^[585]	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	43%	13%
Emerson College^[586]	September 16–18, 2022	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	45%	44%	11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[587]^{[upper-alpha 6]}	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	52%	6%
Marquette University Law School^[588]	October 26–31, 2021	805 (RV)	± 3.9%	45%	41%	14%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies^[589]	July 16–18, 2024	470 (LV)	–	42%	42%	6%	–	1%	9%^{[lower-alpha 89]}
Trafalgar Group (R)^[590]	July 15–17, 2024	1,087 (LV)	± 2.9%	43%	46%	3%	0%	1%	7%
Emerson College^[541]^{[upper-alpha 24]}	July 15–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	46%	4%	0%	1%	6%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[543]^{[upper-alpha 25]}	July 5–12, 2024	1,020 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	45%	7%	0%	1%	5%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
YouGov^[591]^{[upper-alpha 4]}	July 4–12, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.1%	38%	43%	4%	1%	1%	13%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^{[upper-alpha 65]}	July 6–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	38%	11%	–	3%	12%^{[lower-alpha 90]}
Echelon Insights^[129]^{[upper-alpha 26]}	July 1–8, 2024	617 (LV)	± 4.7%	42%	43%	6%	1%	2%	6%^{[lower-alpha 91]}
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[544]	July 1–5, 2024	695 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	39%	10%	1%	1%	8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)^[546]^{[upper-alpha 27]}	June 28 – July 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	38%	44%	9%	–	3%	6%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Marquette University Law School^[549]	June 12–20, 2024	871 (RV)	± 4.6%	40%	43%	8%	4%	2%	3%^{[lower-alpha 91]}
Marquette University Law School^[549]	June 12–20, 2024	784 (LV)	± 4.9%	42%	44%	7%	3%	2%	2%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Emerson College^[550]	June 13–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	44%	6%	0%	1%	7%
J.L. Partners^[592]	June 5–10, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	44%	44%	5%	0%	0%	6%
KAConsulting (R)^[552]^{[upper-alpha 59]}	May 15–19, 2024	600 (RV)	–	42%	42%	7%	1%	2%	6%^{[lower-alpha 92]}
Prime Group^[553]^{[upper-alpha 28]}	May 9–16, 2024	488 (RV)	–	44%	44%	7%	3%	2%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[516]	May 7–13, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	43%	6%	1%	1%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)^[554]	May 6–13, 2024	503 (LV)	± 4.4%	41%	41%	9%	1%	1%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[555]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	614 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	38%	9%	0%	1%	14%^{[lower-alpha 93]}
New York Times/Siena College^[555]	April 28 – May 9, 2024	614 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	40%	8%	0%	0%	13%^{[lower-alpha 93]}
Quinnipiac University^[556]	May 2–6, 2024	1,457 (RV)	± 2.6%	40%	39%	12%	1%	4%	4%
Emerson College^[557]	April 25–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	45%	6%	1%	1%	7%
Fox News^[560]	April 11–16, 2024	1,198 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	41%	9%	2%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[561]	April 8–15, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	44%	8%	1%	1%	5%
Marquette University Law School^[562]	April 3–10, 2024	814 (RV)	± 4.8%	40%	41%	13%	3%	2%	1%
Marquette University Law School^[562]	April 3–10, 2024	736 (LV)	± 5.0%	41%	42%	12%	3%	1%	1%
North Star Opinion Research (R)^[563]^{[upper-alpha 23]}	April 6–9, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	37%	13%	2%	4%	9%
Wall Street Journal^[564]	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	38%	10%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College^[566]	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	43%	6%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[567]	March 8–14, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	39%	41%	10%	1%	1%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[568]	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	41%	10%	1%	1%	12%
Emerson College^[517]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	41%	7%	1%	1%	13%
Marquette University Law School^[570]	January 24–31, 2024	930 (RV)	± 4.2%	37%	40%	16%	2%	4%	1%
Marquette University Law School^[570]	January 24–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 4.2%	39%	41%	13%	2%	4%	1%
Fox News^[571]	January 26–30, 2024	1,172 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	42%	7%	1%	2%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[593]	January 16–21, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	43%	10%	0%	2%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[594]	November 27 – December 6, 2023	681 (RV)	± 4.0%	34%	40%	10%	1%	3%	13%
J.L. Partners^[575]^{[upper-alpha 32]}	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	42%	37%	7%	1%	1%	12%^{[lower-alpha 94]}

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Civiqs^[540]^{[upper-alpha 58]}	July 13–16, 2024	514 (RV)	± 4.8%	47%	47%	3%	3%
P2 Insights^[595]^{[upper-alpha 37]}	June 11–20, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	42%	45%	4%	9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[551]	May 30–31, 2024	338 (RV)	± 5.3%	38%	31%	13%	18%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University^[551]	May 30–31, 2024	290 (LV)	± 5.3%	40%	35%	12%	13%
P2 Insights^[596]^{[upper-alpha 37]}	May 13−21, 2024	650 (LV)	± 3.8%	42%	44%	7%	7%
New York Times/Siena College^[597]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	37%	35%	22%	6%
New York Times/Siena College^[597]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.8%	37%	35%	21%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult^[598]	October 30 – November 7, 2023	675 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	38%	13%	2%	11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
CBS News/YouGov^[559]	April 19–25, 2024	1,226 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	48%	8%	0%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	518 (LV)	–	42%	48%	10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies^[20]^{[upper-alpha 2]}	April 13–21, 2024	518 (LV)	–	41%	41%	18%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College^[517]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	45%	19%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News^[512]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	50%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	47%	46%	7%

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	JB Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	47%	47%	6%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Josh Shapiro Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News^[512]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	46%	44%	10%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Pete Buttigieg Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[514]^{[upper-alpha 18]}	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	47%	46%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Marquette University Law School^[570]	January 24–31, 2024	930 (RV)	± 4.2%	33%	45%	22%
		930 (RV)	± 4.2%	41%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	57%	2%
		808 (LV)	± 4.2%	35%	46%	19%
		808 (LV)	± 4.2%	42%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	57%	1%
New York Times/Siena College^[599]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	39%	52%	9%
New York Times/Siena College^[599]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.8%	39%	53%	8%
Marquette University Law School^[578]	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	36%	41%	23%
Marquette University Law School^[578]	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	53%	3%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College^[599]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	48%	8%
New York Times/Siena College^[599]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.8%	44%	48%	8%
Marquette University Law School^[578]	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	42%	15%
Marquette University Law School^[578]	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	50%	1%
Marquette University Law School^[583]	June 8–13, 2023	913 (RV)	± 4.3%	45%	43%	12%
Marquette University Law School^[583]	June 8–13, 2023	913 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	47%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[600]	April 17–20, 2023	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	45%	10%

Wyoming

Notes

↑ ^1.0 ^1.1 ^1.2 ^1.3 Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
↑ ^2.0 ^2.1 ^2.2 ^2.3 ^2.4 ^2.5 ^2.6 ^2.7 ^2.8 District boundaries have changed since the 2020 election.
↑ ^3.00 ^3.01 ^3.02 ^3.03 ^3.04 ^3.05 ^3.06 ^3.07 ^3.08 ^3.09 ^3.10 ^3.11 ^3.12 ^3.13 ^3.14 ^3.15 ^3.16 ^3.17 ^3.18 ^3.19 ^3.20 ^3.21 ^3.22 ^3.23 ^3.24 ^3.25 ^3.26 ^3.27 ^3.28 ^3.29 ^3.30 ^3.31 ^3.32 ^3.33 ^3.34 ^3.35 ^3.36 ^3.37 ^3.38 ^3.39 ^3.40 ^3.41 ^3.42 ^3.43 ^3.44 ^3.45 ^3.46 ^3.47 ^3.48 ^3.49 ^3.50 ^3.51 ^3.52 ^3.53 ^3.54 ^3.55 ^3.56 ^3.57 ^3.58 ^3.59 ^3.60 ^3.61 ^3.62 ^3.63 ^3.64 ^3.65 ^3.66 ^3.67 ^3.68 ^3.69 ^3.70 ^3.71 ^3.72 ^3.73 ^3.74 ^3.75 ^3.76 ^3.77 ^3.78 ^3.79 ^3.80 ^3.81 ^3.82 ^3.83 ^3.84 ^3.85 ^3.86 ^3.87 ^3.88 ^3.89 ^3.90 ^3.91 ^3.92 ^3.93 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ ^5.00 ^5.01 ^5.02 ^5.03 ^5.04 ^5.05 ^5.06 ^5.07 ^5.08 ^5.09 ^5.10 ^5.11 ^5.12 ^5.13 "Other" with 2%
↑ ^6.00 ^6.01 ^6.02 ^6.03 ^6.04 ^6.05 ^6.06 ^6.07 ^6.08 ^6.09 ^6.10 "Other" with 1%
↑ ^7.00 ^7.01 ^7.02 ^7.03 ^7.04 ^7.05 ^7.06 ^7.07 ^7.08 ^7.09 ^7.10 ^7.11 ^7.12 ^7.13 ^7.14 ^7.15 ^7.16 ^7.17 ^7.18 ^7.19 ^7.20 ^7.21 ^7.22 ^7.23 ^7.24 ^7.25 "Someone else" with 1%
↑ ^8.00 ^8.01 ^8.02 ^8.03 ^8.04 ^8.05 ^8.06 ^8.07 ^8.08 ^8.09 ^8.10 ^8.11 ^8.12 ^8.13 ^8.14 ^8.15 ^8.16 ^8.17 ^8.18 ^8.19 ^8.20 ^8.21 ^8.22 ^8.23 ^8.24 ^8.25 ^8.26 ^8.27 ^8.28 ^8.29 ^8.30 ^8.31 ^8.32 ^8.33 ^8.34 ^8.35 ^8.36 ^8.37 ^8.38 ^8.39 ^8.40 ^8.41 ^8.42 ^8.43 ^8.44 ^8.45 ^8.46 ^8.47 ^8.48 ^8.49 ^8.50 ^8.51 ^8.52 ^8.53 ^8.54 ^8.55 ^8.56 ^8.57 ^8.58 ^8.59 ^8.60 ^8.61 ^8.62 ^8.63 ^8.64 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
↑ "Someone else" with 7%
↑ ^10.00 ^10.01 ^10.02 ^10.03 ^10.04 ^10.05 ^10.06 ^10.07 ^10.08 ^10.09 ^10.10 "Another party's candidates" with 1% Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "APC1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "APC1" defined multiple times with different content
↑ "Someone else" with 3%
↑ ^12.0 ^12.1 ^12.2 ^12.3 ^12.4 ^12.5 ^12.6 "Other" with 3%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
↑ ^14.0 ^14.1 ^14.2 "Someone else" with 2%
↑ "Someone else" with 5%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 5%
↑ ^17.0 ^17.1 ^17.2 ^17.3 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ Independent/Third party candidate with 13%
↑ "Someone else" with 15%
↑ "Another candidate" with 12%
↑ "Another candidate" with 11%
↑ No Labels candidate
↑ ^23.00 ^23.01 ^23.02 ^23.03 ^23.04 ^23.05 ^23.06 ^23.07 ^23.08 ^23.09 ^23.10 ^23.11 ^23.12 Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
↑ ^24.0 ^24.1 Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
↑ Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%
↑ Joe Manchin with 4%
↑ "Someone else" with 12%
↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
↑ Jill Stein (G) with 2%
↑ "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1%; "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" & "Would not vote" with 2%
↑ "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1%; "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" & "Would not vote" with 2%
↑ ^33.0 ^33.1 ^33.2 ^33.3 ^33.4 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ "Other" with 1%
↑ "Not sure" with 3%; "Don't want to say" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 0%
↑ "Someone else" with 15%
↑ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%
↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ ^39.0 ^39.1 ^39.2 "Other" with 4%
↑ "Another Candidate" with 3%
↑ "Another Candidate" with 2%
↑ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
↑ ^44.0 ^44.1 ^44.2 ^44.3 "Some other candidate" with 1%
↑ "Someone else" with 1%
↑ "Someone else" with 1%
↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
↑ ^48.0 ^48.1 ^48.2 ^48.3 Randall Terry (C) with 0%
↑ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
↑ ^50.0 ^50.1 ^50.2 ^50.3 ^50.4 Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each
↑ "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
↑ Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each
↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
↑ ^54.0 ^54.1 "Someone else" with 14%
↑ ^55.0 ^55.1 "Someone else" with 8%
↑ "Someone else" with 11%
↑ "Someone else" with 9%
↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
↑ "Another candidate" with 7%
↑ "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 4%
↑ "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%
↑ No Labels candidate
↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
↑ ^64.0 ^64.1 ^64.2 Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
↑ "Would not vote" with 3%
↑ "Would not vote" with 1%
↑ "Someone else" with 4%
↑ "Someone else" with 6%
↑ "Someone else" with 3%
↑ "Someone else" with 5%
↑ "Another third party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 2%
↑ "Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ ^74.0 ^74.1 "Another Candidate" with 1%
↑ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
↑ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
↑ ^79.0 ^79.1 ^79.2 ^79.3 ^79.4 ^79.5 Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
↑ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
↑ ^81.0 ^81.1 Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
↑ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
↑ "Another candidate" with 12%
↑ "Another candidate" with 11%
↑ "Another candidate" with 13%
↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
↑ No Labels candidate
↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
↑ ^91.0 ^91.1 Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
↑ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
↑ ^93.0 ^93.1 Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
↑ "Someone else" with 12%

Partisan clients

↑ Poll sponsored by Nick Begich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
↑ ^2.00 ^2.01 ^2.02 ^2.03 ^2.04 ^2.05 ^2.06 ^2.07 ^2.08 ^2.09 ^2.10 ^2.11 ^2.12 ^2.13 ^2.14 ^2.15 ^2.16 ^2.17 ^2.18 ^2.19 ^2.20 ^2.21 ^2.22 ^2.23 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
↑ ^3.0 ^3.1 ^3.2 ^3.3 Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
↑ ^4.00 ^4.01 ^4.02 ^4.03 ^4.04 ^4.05 ^4.06 ^4.07 ^4.08 ^4.09 ^4.10 ^4.11 Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
↑ ^5.0 ^5.1 ^5.2 ^5.3 ^5.4 ^5.5 ^5.6 ^5.7 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
↑ ^6.0 ^6.1 ^6.2 ^6.3 ^6.4 ^6.5 ^6.6 ^6.7 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
↑ ^7.0 ^7.1 ^7.2 ^7.3 ^7.4 ^7.5 Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
↑ ^8.0 ^8.1 ^8.2 Poll conducted for the Article III Project
↑ Poll commissioned by AARP
↑ Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family
↑ Poll sponsored by the Democracy Defense Project and Echo Canyon Consulting
↑ ^12.0 ^12.1 ^12.2 ^12.3 ^12.4 ^12.5 Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
↑ Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
↑ ^15.0 ^15.1 ^15.2 ^15.3 ^15.4 ^15.5 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
↑ ^16.0 ^16.1 ^16.2 Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
↑ ^17.0 ^17.1 ^17.2 ^17.3 ^17.4 ^17.5 Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
↑ ^18.00 ^18.01 ^18.02 ^18.03 ^18.04 ^18.05 ^18.06 ^18.07 ^18.08 ^18.09 ^18.10 ^18.11 ^18.12 ^18.13 ^18.14 ^18.15 ^18.16 ^18.17 ^18.18 ^18.19 ^18.20 ^18.21 Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
↑ ^19.0 ^19.1 ^19.2 Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
↑ Poll commissioned by AARP
↑ ^21.0 ^21.1 ^21.2 ^21.3 ^21.4 ^21.5 ^21.6 ^21.7 Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
↑ Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
↑ ^23.0 ^23.1 ^23.2 ^23.3 ^23.4 Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
↑ ^24.0 ^24.1 ^24.2 ^24.3 ^24.4 ^24.5 ^24.6 ^24.7 ^24.8 Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
↑ ^25.0 ^25.1 ^25.2 ^25.3 ^25.4 ^25.5 Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
↑ ^26.0 ^26.1 ^26.2 ^26.3 ^26.4 ^26.5 ^26.6 ^26.7 Poll sponsored by NetChoice
↑ ^27.0 ^27.1 ^27.2 ^27.3 ^27.4 ^27.5 ^27.6 ^27.7 ^27.8 Poll commissioned by AARP
↑ ^28.0 ^28.1 ^28.2 ^28.3 ^28.4 ^28.5 ^28.6 ^28.7 ^28.8 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
↑ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
↑ ^31.0 ^31.1 ^31.2 ^31.3 Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
↑ ^32.0 ^32.1 ^32.2 ^32.3 ^32.4 Poll conducted for The Daily Mail Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "DailyMail" defined multiple times with different content
↑ Poll sponsored by Stand for Children Arizona
↑ ^34.00 ^34.01 ^34.02 ^34.03 ^34.04 ^34.05 ^34.06 ^34.07 ^34.08 ^34.09 ^34.10 ^34.11 ^34.12 Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "CAP" defined multiple times with different content
↑ Poll sponsored by College Republicans United
↑ Poll commissioned by AARP
↑ ^37.0 ^37.1 ^37.2 ^37.3 ^37.4 ^37.5 Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
↑ Poll sponsored by WGN-TV
↑ Poll sponsored by WBEZ & The Chicago Sun-Times
↑ Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
↑ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
↑ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearDefense
↑ ^44.00 ^44.01 ^44.02 ^44.03 ^44.04 ^44.05 ^44.06 ^44.07 ^44.08 ^44.09 ^44.10 ^44.11 Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
↑ ^45.0 ^45.1 ^45.2 ^45.3 ^45.4 Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
↑ Poll conducted for American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce
↑ ^47.00 ^47.01 ^47.02 ^47.03 ^47.04 ^47.05 ^47.06 ^47.07 ^47.08 ^47.09 ^47.10 ^47.11 ^47.12 ^47.13 ^47.14 ^47.15 ^47.16 Poll commissioned by MIRS
↑ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
↑ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
↑ ^51.0 ^51.1 ^51.2 ^51.3 Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
↑ ^52.0 ^52.1 ^52.2 ^52.3 Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
↑ ^53.0 ^53.1 ^53.2 ^53.3 ^53.4 ^53.5 ^53.6 Poll conducted for The Independent Center Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "icenter" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "icenter" defined multiple times with different content
↑ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
↑ ^55.0 ^55.1 Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
↑ ^56.0 ^56.1 ^56.2 ^56.3 Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press
↑ ^57.0 ^57.1 ^57.2 ^57.3 ^57.4 ^57.5 ^57.6 ^57.7 ^57.8 Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
↑ ^58.0 ^58.1 ^58.2 ^58.3 ^58.4 ^58.5 Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
↑ ^59.0 ^59.1 ^59.2 ^59.3 Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
↑ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
↑ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
↑ This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
↑ ^65.0 ^65.1 ^65.2 ^65.3 ^65.4 ^65.5 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
↑ ^66.0 ^66.1 Poll sponsored by Trending Politics
↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
↑ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
↑ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
↑ ^70.0 ^70.1 Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
↑ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
↑ Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
↑ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
↑ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund

References

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↑ ^20.00 ^20.01 ^20.02 ^20.03 ^20.04 ^20.05 ^20.06 ^20.07 ^20.08 ^20.09 ^20.10 ^20.11 ^20.12 ^20.13 ^20.14 ^20.15 ^20.16 ^20.17 ^20.18 ^20.19 ^20.20 ^20.21 ^20.22 ^20.23 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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↑ ^29.0 ^29.1 ^29.2 ^29.3 ^29.4 ^29.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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↑ ^31.0 ^31.1 ^31.2 ^31.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
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↑ ^36.0 ^36.1 ^36.2 ^36.3 ^36.4 ^36.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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↑ ^39.0 ^39.1 ^39.2 ^39.3 ^39.4 ^39.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^40.0 ^40.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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↑ ^49.0 ^49.1 ^49.2 ^49.3 ^49.4 ^49.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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↑ ^257.0 ^257.1 ^257.2 ^257.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^259.0 ^259.1 ^259.2 ^259.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "EIOct27-30" defined multiple times with different content
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^263.0 ^263.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^269.0 ^269.1 ^269.2 ^269.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^274.0 ^274.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^280.0 ^280.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^284.0 ^284.1 ^284.2 ^284.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^286.0 ^286.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^289.0 ^289.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^294.0 ^294.1 ^294.2 ^294.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^296.0 ^296.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^304.0 ^304.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^305.0 ^305.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^306.0 ^306.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^307.0 ^307.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^308.0 ^308.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^309.0 ^309.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^310.0 ^310.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^311.0 ^311.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^312.0 ^312.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^314.0 ^314.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^315.0 ^315.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^316.0 ^316.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^318.0 ^318.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^320.0 ^320.1 ^320.2 ^320.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^321.0 ^321.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^322.0 ^322.1 ^322.2 ^322.3 ^322.4 ^322.5 ^322.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^323.0 ^323.1 ^323.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^324.0 ^324.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^351.0 ^351.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^353.0 ^353.1 ^353.2 ^353.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^354.0 ^354.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^355.0 ^355.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^356.0 ^356.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^358.0 ^358.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^359.0 ^359.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^362.0 ^362.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^363.0 ^363.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^364.0 ^364.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^365.0 ^365.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^366.0 ^366.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^367.0 ^367.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^368.0 ^368.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^369.0 ^369.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^370.0 ^370.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^371.0 ^371.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^372.0 ^372.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^374.0 ^374.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^375.0 ^375.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^376.0 ^376.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^378.0 ^378.1 ^378.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^379.0 ^379.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^380.0 ^380.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^382.0 ^382.1 ^382.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^383.0 ^383.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^384.0 ^384.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^385.0 ^385.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^386.0 ^386.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^389.0 ^389.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^390.0 ^390.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^392.0 ^392.1 ^392.2 ^392.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^396.0 ^396.1 ^396.2 ^396.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^398.0 ^398.1 ^398.2 ^398.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^400.0 ^400.1 ^400.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^401.0 ^401.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^405.0 ^405.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^406.0 ^406.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^409.0 ^409.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^411.0 ^411.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^412.0 ^412.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^413.0 ^413.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^415.0 ^415.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^416.0 ^416.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^434.0 ^434.1 ^434.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^435.0 ^435.1 ^435.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^442.0 ^442.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^443.0 ^443.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^454.0 ^454.1 ^454.2 ^454.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^455.0 ^455.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^463.0 ^463.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^479.0 ^479.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^480.0 ^480.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^485.0 ^485.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^487.0 ^487.1 Script error: No such module "cite journal".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^491.0 ^491.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^495.0 ^495.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^496.0 ^496.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^498.0 ^498.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^499.0 ^499.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^500.0 ^500.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^503.0 ^503.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^505.0 ^505.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^506.0 ^506.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^507.0 ^507.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^509.0 ^509.1 ^509.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^511.0 ^511.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^512.0 ^512.1 ^512.2 ^512.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^513.0 ^513.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^514.0 ^514.1 ^514.2 ^514.3 ^514.4 ^514.5 ^514.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^515.0 ^515.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^516.0 ^516.1 ^516.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^517.0 ^517.1 ^517.2 ^517.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^518.0 ^518.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^540.0 ^540.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^541.0 ^541.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^543.0 ^543.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^544.0 ^544.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^546.0 ^546.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^549.0 ^549.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^550.0 ^550.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^551.0 ^551.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^552.0 ^552.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^553.0 ^553.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^554.0 ^554.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^555.0 ^555.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^556.0 ^556.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^557.0 ^557.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^559.0 ^559.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^560.0 ^560.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^561.0 ^561.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^562.0 ^562.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^563.0 ^563.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^564.0 ^564.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^566.0 ^566.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^567.0 ^567.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^568.0 ^568.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^570.0 ^570.1 ^570.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^571.0 ^571.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ ^575.0 ^575.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^578.0 ^578.1 ^578.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Script error: No such module "cite news".
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^583.0 ^583.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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[ME.2FNE-15] 1.0 ^1.1 ^1.2 ^1.3 Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.

[districts-16] 2.0 ^2.1 ^2.2 ^2.3 ^2.4 ^2.5 ^2.6 ^2.7 ^2.8 District boundaries have changed since the 2020 election.

[key-17] 3.00 ^3.01 ^3.02 ^3.03 ^3.04 ^3.05 ^3.06 ^3.07 ^3.08 ^3.09 ^3.10 ^3.11 ^3.12 ^3.13 ^3.14 ^3.15 ^3.16 ^3.17 ^3.18 ^3.19 ^3.20 ^3.21 ^3.22 ^3.23 ^3.24 ^3.25 ^3.26 ^3.27 ^3.28 ^3.29 ^3.30 ^3.31 ^3.32 ^3.33 ^3.34 ^3.35 ^3.36 ^3.37 ^3.38 ^3.39 ^3.40 ^3.41 ^3.42 ^3.43 ^3.44 ^3.45 ^3.46 ^3.47 ^3.48 ^3.49 ^3.50 ^3.51 ^3.52 ^3.53 ^3.54 ^3.55 ^3.56 ^3.57 ^3.58 ^3.59 ^3.60 ^3.61 ^3.62 ^3.63 ^3.64 ^3.65 ^3.66 ^3.67 ^3.68 ^3.69 ^3.70 ^3.71 ^3.72 ^3.73 ^3.74 ^3.75 ^3.76 ^3.77 ^3.78 ^3.79 ^3.80 ^3.81 ^3.82 ^3.83 ^3.84 ^3.85 ^3.86 ^3.87 ^3.88 ^3.89 ^3.90 ^3.91 ^3.92 ^3.93 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[29] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[Other2-32] 5.00 ^5.01 ^5.02 ^5.03 ^5.04 ^5.05 ^5.06 ^5.07 ^5.08 ^5.09 ^5.10 ^5.11 ^5.12 ^5.13 "Other" with 2%

[Other1-34] 6.00 ^6.01 ^6.02 ^6.03 ^6.04 ^6.05 ^6.06 ^6.07 ^6.08 ^6.09 ^6.10 "Other" with 1%

[SE1-39] 7.00 ^7.01 ^7.02 ^7.03 ^7.04 ^7.05 ^7.06 ^7.07 ^7.08 ^7.09 ^7.10 ^7.11 ^7.12 ^7.13 ^7.14 ^7.15 ^7.16 ^7.17 ^7.18 ^7.19 ^7.20 ^7.21 ^7.22 ^7.23 ^7.24 ^7.25 "Someone else" with 1%

[lean-40] 8.00 ^8.01 ^8.02 ^8.03 ^8.04 ^8.05 ^8.06 ^8.07 ^8.08 ^8.09 ^8.10 ^8.11 ^8.12 ^8.13 ^8.14 ^8.15 ^8.16 ^8.17 ^8.18 ^8.19 ^8.20 ^8.21 ^8.22 ^8.23 ^8.24 ^8.25 ^8.26 ^8.27 ^8.28 ^8.29 ^8.30 ^8.31 ^8.32 ^8.33 ^8.34 ^8.35 ^8.36 ^8.37 ^8.38 ^8.39 ^8.40 ^8.41 ^8.42 ^8.43 ^8.44 ^8.45 ^8.46 ^8.47 ^8.48 ^8.49 ^8.50 ^8.51 ^8.52 ^8.53 ^8.54 ^8.55 ^8.56 ^8.57 ^8.58 ^8.59 ^8.60 ^8.61 ^8.62 ^8.63 ^8.64 With voters who lean towards a given candidate

[SE7-55] "Someone else" with 7%

[APC1-59] 10.00 ^10.01 ^10.02 ^10.03 ^10.04 ^10.05 ^10.06 ^10.07 ^10.08 ^10.09 ^10.10 "Another party's candidates" with 1% Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "APC1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "APC1" defined multiple times with different content

[SE3-64] "Someone else" with 3%

[Other3-69] 12.0 ^12.1 ^12.2 ^12.3 ^12.4 ^12.5 ^12.6 "Other" with 3%

[79] "Some other candidate" with 2%

[SE2-101] 14.0 ^14.1 ^14.2 "Someone else" with 2%

[SE5-110] "Someone else" with 5%

[126] "Some other candidate" with 5%

[difference-138] 17.0 ^17.1 ^17.2 ^17.3 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[195] Independent/Third party candidate with 13%

[197] "Someone else" with 15%

[209] "Another candidate" with 12%

[210] "Another candidate" with 11%

[229] No Labels candidate

[Oliver1-246] 23.00 ^23.01 ^23.02 ^23.03 ^23.04 ^23.05 ^23.06 ^23.07 ^23.08 ^23.09 ^23.10 ^23.11 ^23.12 Chase Oliver (L) with 1%

[Oliver0-250] 24.0 ^24.1 Chase Oliver (L) with 0%

[251] Chase Oliver (L) with 2%

[254] Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%

[256] Joe Manchin with 4%

[258] "Someone else" with 12%

[260] Chase Oliver (L) with 2%

[265] Jill Stein (G) with 2%

[272] "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1%; "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" & "Would not vote" with 2%

[274] "Other (L)" & "Other (G)" with 1%; "Other (Third Party/Write-In)" & "Would not vote" with 2%

[Key-285] 33.0 ^33.1 ^33.2 ^33.3 ^33.4 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[Oher1-296] "Other" with 1%

[305] "Not sure" with 3%; "Don't want to say" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 0%

[309] "Someone else" with 15%

[328] "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%

[329] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[Other4-334] 39.0 ^39.1 ^39.2 "Other" with 4%

[340] "Another Candidate" with 3%

[341] "Another Candidate" with 2%

[362] "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%

[364] "Some other candidate" with 2%

[SOC1-376] 44.0 ^44.1 ^44.2 ^44.3 "Some other candidate" with 1%

[397] "Someone else" with 1%

[398] "Someone else" with 1%

[404] "Will not vote" with 4%

[Terry0-430] 48.0 ^48.1 ^48.2 ^48.3 Randall Terry (C) with 0%

[440] Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.

[SEPC0-445] 50.0 ^50.1 ^50.2 ^50.3 ^50.4 Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each

[450] "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%

[453] Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each

[458] "Will not vote" with 4%

[SE14-469] 54.0 ^54.1 "Someone else" with 14%

[SE8-492] 55.0 ^55.1 "Someone else" with 8%

[493] "Someone else" with 11%

[494] "Someone else" with 9%

[512] "Another candidate" with 9%

[513] "Another candidate" with 7%

[521] "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 4%

[522] "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%

[538] No Labels candidate

[552] Chase Oliver (L) with 0%

[Lars1-553] 64.0 ^64.1 ^64.2 Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%

[556] "Would not vote" with 3%

[557] "Would not vote" with 1%

[561] "Someone else" with 4%

[562] "Someone else" with 6%

[563] "Someone else" with 3%

[564] "Someone else" with 5%

[568] "Another third party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 2%

[569] "Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%

[582] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[AC1-589] 74.0 ^74.1 "Another Candidate" with 1%

[608] "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%

[610] "Some other candidate" with 2%

[633] "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%

[644] "Will not vote" with 4%

[CPSL0-674] 79.0 ^79.1 ^79.2 ^79.3 ^79.4 ^79.5 Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each

[684] Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.

[C1PSL0-688] 81.0 ^81.1 Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%

[689] Randall Terry (C) with 1%

[691] "Will not vote" with 4%

[709] "Another candidate" with 12%

[710] "Another candidate" with 11%

[733] "Another candidate" with 13%

[734] "Another candidate" with 9%

[746] No Labels candidate

[754] Chase Oliver (L) with 0%

[757] Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%

[Oliver2-758] 91.0 ^91.1 Chase Oliver (L) with 2%

[760] Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%

[Lars0-761] 93.0 ^93.1 Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%

[764] "Someone else" with 12%

[NRCC-21] Poll sponsored by Nick Begich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee

[Kennedy-25] 2.00 ^2.01 ^2.02 ^2.03 ^2.04 ^2.05 ^2.06 ^2.07 ^2.08 ^2.09 ^2.10 ^2.11 ^2.12 ^2.13 ^2.14 ^2.15 ^2.16 ^2.17 ^2.18 ^2.19 ^2.20 ^2.21 ^2.22 ^2.23 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

[OPREP-44] 3.0 ^3.1 ^3.2 ^3.3 Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics

[times-48] 4.00 ^4.01 ^4.02 ^4.03 ^4.04 ^4.05 ^4.06 ^4.07 ^4.08 ^4.09 ^4.10 ^4.11 Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University

[AT-51] 5.0 ^5.1 ^5.2 ^5.3 ^5.4 ^5.5 ^5.6 ^5.7 Poll sponsored by American Thinker

[TrumpCampaign-72] 6.0 ^6.1 ^6.2 ^6.3 ^6.4 ^6.5 ^6.6 ^6.7 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign

[NI-78] 7.0 ^7.1 ^7.2 ^7.3 ^7.4 ^7.5 Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute

[AIII-81] 8.0 ^8.1 ^8.2 Poll conducted for the Article III Project

[83] Poll commissioned by AARP

[86] Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family

[DDPECC-88] Poll sponsored by the Democracy Defense Project and Echo Canyon Consulting

[PGPF-90] 12.0 ^12.1 ^12.2 ^12.3 ^12.4 ^12.5 Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation

[92] Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld

[AZFN-104] Poll sponsored by AZ Free News

[AG-106] 15.0 ^15.1 ^15.2 ^15.3 ^15.4 ^15.5 Poll sponsored by American Greatness

[APP-115] 16.0 ^16.1 ^16.2 Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project

[NUSA-117] 17.0 ^17.1 ^17.2 ^17.3 ^17.4 ^17.5 Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA

[PAF-128] 18.00 ^18.01 ^18.02 ^18.03 ^18.04 ^18.05 ^18.06 ^18.07 ^18.08 ^18.09 ^18.10 ^18.11 ^18.12 ^18.13 ^18.14 ^18.15 ^18.16 ^18.17 ^18.18 ^18.19 ^18.20 ^18.21 Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates

[CC-130] 19.0 ^19.1 ^19.2 Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition

[151] Poll commissioned by AARP

[clean-162] 21.0 ^21.1 ^21.2 ^21.3 ^21.4 ^21.5 ^21.6 ^21.7 Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC

[NRSC-164] Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee

[LAW-166] 23.0 ^23.1 ^23.2 ^23.3 ^23.4 Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[DNext-168] 24.0 ^24.1 ^24.2 ^24.3 ^24.4 ^24.5 ^24.6 ^24.7 ^24.8 Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC

[heartland-170] 25.0 ^25.1 ^25.2 ^25.3 ^25.4 ^25.5 Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute

[NC-172] 26.0 ^26.1 ^26.2 ^26.3 ^26.4 ^26.5 ^26.6 ^26.7 Poll sponsored by NetChoice

[AARP-181] 27.0 ^27.1 ^27.2 ^27.3 ^27.4 ^27.5 ^27.6 ^27.7 ^27.8 Poll commissioned by AARP

[citizens-185] 28.0 ^28.1 ^28.2 ^28.3 ^28.4 ^28.5 ^28.6 ^28.7 ^28.8 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates

[194] Poll sponsored by Independent Center

[200] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[Americas-214] 31.0 ^31.1 ^31.2 ^31.3 Poll sponsored by Americas PAC

[DailyMail-217] 32.0 ^32.1 ^32.2 ^32.3 ^32.4 Poll conducted for The Daily Mail Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "DailyMail" defined multiple times with different content

[Stand-219] Poll sponsored by Stand for Children Arizona

[CAP-227] 34.00 ^34.01 ^34.02 ^34.03 ^34.04 ^34.05 ^34.06 ^34.07 ^34.08 ^34.09 ^34.10 ^34.11 ^34.12 Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "CAP" defined multiple times with different content

[CRU-234] Poll sponsored by College Republicans United

[253] Poll commissioned by AARP

[BAF-262] 37.0 ^37.1 ^37.2 ^37.3 ^37.4 ^37.5 Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

[WGN-281] Poll sponsored by WGN-TV

[WBEZ-283] Poll sponsored by WBEZ & The Chicago Sun-Times

[Indy-289] Poll sponsored by Indy Politics

[Wells-292] Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general

[298] Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics

[RCD-300] Poll sponsored by RealClearDefense

[ITR-302] 44.00 ^44.01 ^44.02 ^44.03 ^44.04 ^44.05 ^44.06 ^44.07 ^44.08 ^44.09 ^44.10 ^44.11 Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation

[DNM-304] 45.0 ^45.1 ^45.2 ^45.3 ^45.4 Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa

[317] Poll conducted for American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce

[MIRS-337] 47.00 ^47.01 ^47.02 ^47.03 ^47.04 ^47.05 ^47.06 ^47.07 ^47.08 ^47.09 ^47.10 ^47.11 ^47.12 ^47.13 ^47.14 ^47.15 ^47.16 Poll commissioned by MIRS

[TP-350] Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics

[RCA-355] Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld

[384] Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America

[Cato-403] 51.0 ^51.1 ^51.2 ^51.3 Poll conducted for the Cato Institute

[PPI-407] 52.0 ^52.1 ^52.2 ^52.3 Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute

[icenter-411] 53.0 ^53.1 ^53.2 ^53.3 ^53.4 ^53.5 ^53.6 Poll conducted for The Independent Center Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "icenter" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "icenter" defined multiple times with different content

[redeagle-420] Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics

[AFPM-435] 55.0 ^55.1 Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates

[Freep-442] 56.0 ^56.1 ^56.2 ^56.3 Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press

[detroitwdiv-447] 57.0 ^57.1 ^57.2 ^57.3 ^57.4 ^57.5 ^57.6 ^57.7 ^57.8 Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV

[rising-457] 58.0 ^58.1 ^58.2 ^58.3 ^58.4 ^58.5 Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates

[VTA-480] 59.0 ^59.1 ^59.2 ^59.3 Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association

[498] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[505] Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[531] Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund

[542] Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party

[NPI-577] This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

[AMG-594] 65.0 ^65.1 ^65.2 ^65.3 ^65.4 ^65.5 Poll sponsored by American Greatness

[trending-597] 66.0 ^66.1 Poll sponsored by Trending Politics

[605] Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld

[619] Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance

[626] Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America

[WIW-631] 70.0 ^70.1 Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch

[PC-646] Poll sponsored by Platform Communications

[SOF-673] Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund

[698] Poll conducted for Protect Our Care

[Onpoint-702] Poll sponsored by On Point Politics

[725] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[744] Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund

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[Kennedy24-24] 20.00 ^20.01 ^20.02 ^20.03 ^20.04 ^20.05 ^20.06 ^20.07 ^20.08 ^20.09 ^20.10 ^20.11 ^20.12 ^20.13 ^20.14 ^20.15 ^20.16 ^20.17 ^20.18 ^20.19 ^20.20 ^20.21 ^20.22 ^20.23 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

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[129] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto9-131] 96.0 ^96.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto43-132] 97.0 ^97.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto36-133] 98.0 ^98.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto19-134] 99.0 ^99.1 ^99.2 ^99.3 ^99.4 ^99.5 ^99.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto20-135] 100.0 ^100.1 ^100.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto16-136] 101.0 ^101.1 ^101.2 ^101.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto-137] 102.0 ^102.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[139] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[140] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[141] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[142] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[143] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[144] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[145] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[146] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[147] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[148] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[149] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[150] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[152] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[153] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[154] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[155] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[156] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[157] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[158] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[159] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[160] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto37-161] 124.0 ^124.1 ^124.2 ^124.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[163] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[165] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto1-167] 127.0 ^127.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto32-169] 128.0 ^128.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[EIJul1-8-171] 129.0 ^129.1 ^129.2 ^129.3 ^129.4 ^129.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto44-173] 130.0 ^130.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[174] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[175] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto42-176] 133.0 ^133.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto3-177] 134.0 ^134.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto24-178] 135.0 ^135.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto28-179] 136.0 ^136.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto5-180] 137.0 ^137.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto33-182] 138.0 ^138.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[183] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto13-184] 140.0 ^140.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto10-186] 141.0 ^141.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto14-187] 142.0 ^142.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto38-188] 143.0 ^143.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto25-189] 144.0 ^144.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[190] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto41-191] 146.0 ^146.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto2-192] 147.0 ^147.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[193] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[196] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto4-198] 150.0 ^150.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[199] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto6-201] 152.0 ^152.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto11-202] 153.0 ^153.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto18-203] 154.0 ^154.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto7-204] 155.0 ^155.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[205] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto34-206] 157.0 ^157.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[207] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[208] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[211] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[212] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto22-213] 162.0 ^162.1 ^162.2 ^162.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[215] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto26-216] 164.0 ^164.1 ^164.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[218] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[220] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[221] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto15-222] 168.0 ^168.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[223] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AZ-auto21-224] 170.0 ^170.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto27-225] 171.0 ^171.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto30-226] 172.0 ^172.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[228] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto17-230] 174.0 ^174.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto39-231] 175.0 ^175.1 ^175.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto8-232] 176.0 ^176.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[233] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto40-235] 178.0 ^178.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto35-236] 179.0 ^179.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[237] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[238] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[239] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[240] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto23-241] 184.0 ^184.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[242] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[243] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[244] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[245] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[247] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[248] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[249] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[252] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[255] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[257] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[259] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[261] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[263] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[264] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[266] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[267] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[268] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto12-269] 202.0 ^202.1 ^202.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[270] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[271] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AZ-auto29-273] 205.0 ^205.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[275] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[276] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[277] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[278] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[:0-279] 210.0 ^210.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[280] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[IL-Public_Policy_Polling-282] 212.0 ^212.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[284] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[286] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[287] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[288] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[290] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[291] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[IN-auto-293] 219.0 ^219.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[294] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[295] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[297] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[299] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[301] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[303] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[306] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[307] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[308] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[310] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[311] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[312] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[313] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[ITRSept28-29-314] 233.0 ^233.1 ^233.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[ECPSept7-9-315] 234.0 ^234.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[316] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[BDPJuly9-12-318] 236.0 ^236.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[IA-auto-319] 237.0 ^237.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[ITRApr3-4-320] 238.0 ^238.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[321] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[322] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[323] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[324] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[325] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[326] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[327] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[330] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[331] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[332] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[333] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[335] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MIRSNov2-336] 251.0 ^251.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[NYTOct29-Nov2-338] 252.0 ^252.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[339] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[342] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[343] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[344] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MCTracking-Michigan-345] 257.0 ^257.1 ^257.2 ^257.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[346] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[EIOct27-30-347] 259.0 ^259.1 ^259.2 ^259.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "EIOct27-30" defined multiple times with different content

[348] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[349] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[351] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[FoxOct24-28-352] 263.0 ^263.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[353] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[354] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[356] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[357] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[358] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[QOct17-21-359] 269.0 ^269.1 ^269.2 ^269.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[360] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[361] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[363] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[365] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MIRSOct14-366] 274.0 ^274.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[367] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[368] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[369] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[370] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[371] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[AARPOct2-8-372] 280.0 ^280.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[373] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[374] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[375] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[QOct3-7-377] 284.0 ^284.1 ^284.2 ^284.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[378] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MIRSSept30-379] 286.0 ^286.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[380] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[381] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[NYTSept21-26-Michigan-382] 289.0 ^289.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[383] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[385] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[386] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[387] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[QSept12-16-388] 294.0 ^294.1 ^294.2 ^294.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[389] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MIRSSept11-390] 296.0 ^296.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[391] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[392] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[393] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[394] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[395] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[396] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[399] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[EPICMRAAug23-26-400] 304.0 ^304.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[BloombergAug23-26-Michigan-401] 305.0 ^305.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[CatoAug15-23-Michigan-402] 306.0 ^306.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[TIPPAug20-22-405] 307.0 ^307.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[FWAug19-21-Michigan-406] 308.0 ^308.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[RRAug13-19-Michigan-408] 309.0 ^309.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[FocalAug6-16-Michigan-409] 310.0 ^310.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[BullfinchAug8-11-Michigan-410] 311.0 ^311.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AARPAug7-11-412] 312.0 ^312.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[413] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[NYTAug5-8-Michigan-414] 314.0 ^314.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[NRJul31-Aug8-Michigan-415] 315.0 ^315.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[CookJul26-Aug8-Michigan-416] 316.0 ^316.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[417] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto13-418] 318.0 ^318.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[419] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto19-421] 320.0 ^320.1 ^320.2 ^320.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto46-422] 321.0 ^321.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto21-423] 322.0 ^322.1 ^322.2 ^322.3 ^322.4 ^322.5 ^322.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto23-424] 323.0 ^323.1 ^323.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto1-425] 324.0 ^324.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[426] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[427] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[428] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[429] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[431] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[432] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[433] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[434] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[436] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[437] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[438] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[439] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[441] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[443] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[444] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[446] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[448] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[449] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[451] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[452] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[454] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[455] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[456] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[459] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[460] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[461] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto16-462] 351.0 ^351.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[463] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto20-464] 353.0 ^353.1 ^353.2 ^353.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto39-465] 354.0 ^354.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto30-466] 355.0 ^355.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto6-467] 356.0 ^356.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[468] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto32-470] 358.0 ^358.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto47-471] 359.0 ^359.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[472] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[473] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto37-474] 362.0 ^362.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto9-475] 363.0 ^363.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto5-476] 364.0 ^364.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto4-477] 365.0 ^365.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto11-478] 366.0 ^366.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto7-479] 367.0 ^367.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto17-481] 368.0 ^368.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto18-482] 369.0 ^369.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto41-483] 370.0 ^370.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto28-484] 371.0 ^371.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto3-485] 372.0 ^372.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[486] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto25-487] 374.0 ^374.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto44-488] 375.0 ^375.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto48-489] 376.0 ^376.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[490] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[BDPMar26-30-491] 378.0 ^378.1 ^378.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto34-495] 379.0 ^379.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto10-496] 380.0 ^380.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[497] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto29-499] 382.0 ^382.1 ^382.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto49-500] 383.0 ^383.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto26-501] 384.0 ^384.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto27-502] 385.0 ^385.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto22-503] 386.0 ^386.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[504] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[506] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto35-507] 389.0 ^389.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto-508] 390.0 ^390.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[509] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto14-510] 392.0 ^392.1 ^392.2 ^392.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[511] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[514] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[515] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto45-516] 396.0 ^396.1 ^396.2 ^396.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[517] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto38-518] 398.0 ^398.1 ^398.2 ^398.3 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[519] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[BDPNov16-19-520] 400.0 ^400.1 ^400.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto12-523] 401.0 ^401.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[524] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[525] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[526] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MI-auto24-527] 405.0 ^405.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto33-528] 406.0 ^406.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[529] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[530] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto36-532] 409.0 ^409.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[533] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto43-534] 411.0 ^411.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto8-535] 412.0 ^412.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto40-536] 413.0 ^413.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[537] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto2-539] 415.0 ^415.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[Drucker-540] 416.0 ^416.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[541] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[543] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[544] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[545] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[546] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[547] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[548] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[549] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[550] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[551] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[554] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[555] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[558] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[559] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[560] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[565] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[566] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto15-567] 434.0 ^434.1 ^434.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MI-auto31-570] 435.0 ^435.1 ^435.2 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[571] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[572] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[573] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[574] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[575] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[576] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[OR-auto-578] 442.0 ^442.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[ICApr16-23-579] 443.0 ^443.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[580] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[581] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[583] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[584] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[585] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[586] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[587] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[588] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[590] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[591] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[MCTracking-592] 454.0 ^454.1 ^454.2 ^454.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[TIPPOct28-30-593] 455.0 ^455.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[595] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[596] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[598] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[599] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[600] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[601] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[602] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[LawOct16-24-603] 463.0 ^463.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[604] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[606] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[607] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[609] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[611] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[612] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[613] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[614] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[615] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[616] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[617] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[618] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[620] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[621] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[622] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[NYTSept21-26-Wisconsin-623] 479.0 ^479.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[LawSept18-26-624] 480.0 ^480.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[625] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[627] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[628] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[629] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[MassINCSept12-18-Wisconsin-630] 485.0 ^485.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[632] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[AARPSept11-14-634] 487.0 ^487.1 Script error: No such module "cite journal".

[635] Script error: No such module "cite news".

[636] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[637] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[LawAug28-Sept5-638] 491.0 ^491.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[639] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[640] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[641] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[BloombergAug23-26-Wisconsin-642] 495.0 ^495.1 Script error: No such module "cite news".

[CatoAug15-23-643] 496.0 ^496.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[645] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[FWAug19-21-647] 498.0 ^498.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[RRAug13-19-648] 499.0 ^499.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[FocalAug6-16-649] 500.0 ^500.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

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v t e (← 2020) 2024 United States presidential election (2028 →)
2024 United States elections Polls national state Timeline Debates Fundraising Ballot access Interference Chinese Iranian Russian Transition inauguration
Democratic Party ▌WFP	subgroup
Republican Party ▌CPNYS	subgroup
Libertarian Party	subgroup
Green Party ▌KP	subgroup
Independent ▌GMPJ · ▌NLMN · ▌OPP ▌SA · ▌UCP · ▌UPC	Candidate: Cornel West campaign Running mate: Melina Abdullah
Independent (withdrawn) ▌AP · ▌AIP · ▌IPoD ▌NLP · ▌RPUSA	Candidate: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. campaign Reform Convention Running mate: Nicole Shanahan
child
child

Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

Contents

Limitations

Forecasts

Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

District of Columbia

Florida

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina

North Dakota

Ohio

Oklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

Vermont

Virginia

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin

Wyoming

See also

Notes

References

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