Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2016

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Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2016
← 2012 April 5, 2016 (2016-04-05) 2020 →
  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 48 38
Popular vote 567,943 432,770
Percentage 56.57% 43.11%
Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton

The 2016 Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Vermont senator Bernie Sanders won the contest with 56.5%, distancing nationwide frontrunner Hillary Clinton by 13%.

The Wisconsin Republican primary, held on the same day in conjunction with the Democratic primary, yielded a win for Ted Cruz, who distanced nationwide frontrunner Donald Trump by 13%. With no other primaries being scheduled for that day by either party and just two weeks ahead of the important New York primary, the Wisconsin primary was in the national spotlight.

The two parties' primaries were held in conjunction with this year's Wisconsin judicial elections, where Wisconsin Supreme Court justice Rebecca Bradley was confirmed for a 10-year elected term, winning over Appeals Court judge JoAnne Kloppenburg.[1]

Procedure

State primary procedure

As Wisconsin held an open primary, residents could choose freely which party's primary they wished to participate in, when showing up at the polls on election day, regardless of their official registration with either party or none. Polling stations were opened between 7 a.m. and 8 p.m. Central Time.[2]

The two parties' primaries were held in conjunction with this year's Wisconsin judicial elections that included the election of the Wisconsin Supreme Court justice.[1]

Democratic nomination procedure

The Democratic Party of Wisconsin pledges only 86 out of 96 delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention based on the popular vote at the primary election on the basis of proportional apportion. However, only the 18 at-large delegates and 10 pledged "Party Leaders and Elected Officials" (PLEOs) are apportioned accordiing to the statewide vote, while the 57 district delegates are apportioned according to the vote within each of the state's eight congressional districts. The remaining ten Wisconsin delegates are unpledged "Party Leaders and Elected Officials" (PLEOs), or "Superdelegates", who may vote for whomever they wish at the party's upcoming National Convention.[3]

Candidates

While three candidates appeared on the Democratic primary ballot,[4] only Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton actively campaigned for the Wisconsin contest, after Martin O'Malley had already suspended his campaign.

Presidential debate in Milwaukee, February 2016

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Main article: Sixth Democratic Party presidential debate, February 2016 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The Democratic Party held its sixth presidential debate on February 11, 2016 in Milwaukee, at the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee. Moderated by PBS NewsHour anchors Gwen Ifill and Judy Woodruff, the debate aired on PBS and was simulcast by CNN. Participants were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders.

Opinion polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results April 5, 2016 Bernie Sanders
56.5%		 Hillary Clinton
43.1%		 Other / Uncommitted
0.4%
ARG[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

 April 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton
49%		 Bernie Sanders
48%		 Others / Undecided
3%
Emerson[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 542

 March 30 – April 3, 2016 Bernie Sanders
51%		 Hillary Clinton
43%		 Others / Undecided
6%
CBS News/YouGov[7]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 653

 March 29 – April 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%		 Hillary Clinton
47%		 Others / Undecided
4%
FOX Business[8]

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 860

 March 28–30, 2016 Bernie Sanders
48%		 Hillary Clinton
43%		 Others / Undecided
10%
Loras College[9]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 416

 March 28–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton
47%		 Bernie Sanders
41%		 Others / Undecided
12%
Public Policy Polling[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 720

 March 28–29, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%		 Hillary Clinton
43%		 Others / Undecided
8%
MULaw Poll[11]

Margin of error: ± 6.3%
Sample size: 405

 March 24–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%		 Hillary Clinton
45%		 Others / Undecided
6%
Emerson College[12]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 439

 March 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50%		 Bernie Sanders
44%		 Others / Undecided
6%
MULaw Poll[13]

Margin of error: ± 6.9%
Sample size: 343

 February 18–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
44%		 Hillary Clinton
43%		 Others / Undecided
13%
MULaw Poll[14]

Margin of error: ± 6.5%
Sample size: 312

 January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
45%		 Bernie Sanders
43%		 Martin O'Malley
1%		 Not Reported

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Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Marquette Law School[15]

Margin of error: ± 6.1%
Sample size: 374

 November 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
50%		 Bernie Sanders
41%		 Martin O'Malley
2%		 Undecided 7%
St. Norbert College[16]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: ?

 October 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton
35%		 Bernie Sanders
33%		 Joe Biden
21%		 Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Jim Webb 0%, Not Sure 10%
Hillary Clinton
47%		 Bernie Sanders
42%		 – Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb <1%, Not Sure 7%
Marquette University[17]

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 394

 September 24–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton
42%		 Bernie Sanders
30%		 Joe Biden
17%		 Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Jim Webb 0%
Marquette University[18]

Margin of error: ± 6.1%
Sample size: 396

 August 13–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton
44%		 Bernie Sanders
32%		 Joe Biden
12%		 Lincoln Chafee 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%
Marquette University[19]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 391

 April 7–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton
58.2%		 Elizabeth Warren
14.3%		 Joe Biden
12%		 Martin O'Malley 0.9%, Jim Webb 0.9%, Someone else 3.7%, Don't know 8.9%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 504

 March 6–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton
60%		 Joe Biden
14%		 Elizabeth Warren
12%		 Bernie Sanders 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other/Undecided 7%

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Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 579

 April 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton
57%		 Russ Feingold
19%		 Joe Biden
8%		 Elizabeth Warren 5%, Cory Booker 1%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Someone else/Not sure 8%

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Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Marquette University

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 392

 October 21–27, 2013 Hillary Clinton
64%		 Elizabeth Warren
10.8%		 Joe Biden
10.6%		 Andrew Cuomo 1.9%, Martin O'Malley 0.8%, Someone else 2.1%, Don't know 9.2%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 449

 September 13–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton
50%		 Russ Feingold
20%		 Joe Biden
11%		 Elizabeth Warren 4%, Cory Booker 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone else/Not sure 9%
Marquette University

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 333

 May 6–9, 2013 Hillary Clinton
61.5%		 Joe Biden
13%		 Elizabeth Warren
4.8%		 Andrew Cuomo 4.2%, Deval Patrick 1.5%, Martin O'Malley 1.1%, Mark Warner 0.7%, Someone else 1.5%, Don't Know 11%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error:
Sample size:

 February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton
50%		 Russ Feingold
25%		 Joe Biden
11%		 Andrew Cuomo 3%, Elizabeth Warren 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 8%

Results

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See also: Results of the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 567,865 56.49% 48 0 48
Hillary Clinton 434,171 43.19% 38 4 42
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 1,834 0.18%
Uncommitted 1,441 0.14% 0 6 6
Total 996,161 100% 86 10 96
Source: The Green Papers

Detailed results per congressional district

Detailed results for the Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016[20]
District Total Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Votes Delegates Votes Delegates Votes Delegates
1st district 104,747 6 57,327 3 47,420 3
2nd district 204,897 11 127,466 7 77,431 4
3rd district 117,465 7 72,043 4 45,422 3
4th district 144,659 10 68,255 5 76,404 5
5th district 100,823 5 54,809 3 46,014 2
6th district 105,348 6 60,490 3 44,858 3
7th district 98,860 6 56,683 3 42,177 3
8th district 107,841 6 61,965 3 45,876 3
At-large delegates 1,002,036 19 567,865 11 434,171 8
Pledged PLEOs 1,002,036 10 567,865 6 434,171 4
Total 1,002,036 86 567,865 48 434,171 38

References

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  20. ↑ The Green Papers
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