Virginia gubernatorial election, 2009
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Turnout | 35.6% (voting eligible)[1] | |||||||||||||||
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300px Virginia gubernatorial election results map.
Red denotes counties/districts won by McDonnell. Blue denotes those won by Deeds. |
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The Virginia gubernatorial election of 2009 took place on November 3, 2009. The election chose Bob McDonnell as the next Governor, Bill Bolling re-elected as Lieutenant Governor, and Ken Cuccinelli as the next Attorney General of the Commonwealth of Virginia. The winners were inaugurated on January 16, 2010, and will serve until January 2014. The current Governor, Democrat Tim Kaine, was not eligible to run due to term limits established by the Virginia Constitution, though others in the state's executive branch were not restricted. Virginia is the only state that prohibits its Governor from immediate successive terms.
State Senator Creigh Deeds was the Democratic nominee, having defeated former Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe and former state Delegate Brian Moran in the Democratic primary election.[2][3] This was the first contested Democratic primary in two decades.[4] Former state Attorney General Bob McDonnell was the Republican nominee, having been selected at his party's nominating convention.[5]
Bob McDonnell won the race for governor by a vote of 59%–41% for Creigh Deeds. He was sworn in as Governor on January 16, 2010.
Contents
Candidates
Democratic candidates
State Senator Creigh Deeds, who ran for Attorney General of Virginia in 2005, announced on December 13, 2007 that he would run for the Democratic nomination. State Delegate Brian Moran, brother of Congressman Jim Moran, joined Deeds on January 4, 2008 when he established a political action committee. Additionally, McLean resident Terry McAuliffe, former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and chairman of Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign announced on January 3, 2009 that he was running.[2] The Democratic primary, which took place on June 9, 2009, was the first contested in over twenty years.[4]
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Creigh Deeds at event.jpg
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McAuliffe Herndon.jpg
Former Democratic National Committee Chair Terry McAuliffe
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Brian Moran Rally.jpg
Former State Delegate Brian Moran
Republican candidate
Attorney General Bob McDonnell first announced his intention to run at American Legion's Boy's State of Virginia 2007. This is the sixth consecutive Virginian gubernatorial election in which an Attorney General has run. McDonnell was the only Republican candidate to file with the election board before the November 2008 deadline. As a result, there was no Republican Party primary. McDonnell accepted the Republican nomination at a state convention on May 30, 2009 in Richmond.[6] Chairman of the Republican National Committee Michael Steele had said that the election for governor of Virginia is one of the most important elections for the Republican Party.[7]
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary campaign for Governor unofficially began in December 2007 when State Senator Creigh Deeds announced his candidacy for Governor. He was joined one month later by State Delegate Brian Moran. For the following year (before McAuliffe indicated his intentions to run), Deeds and Moran squared off picking up endorsements, and raising money.
Moran received many endorsements from members of the State Democratic Party as well as the mayors of the Hampton Roads area.[citation needed] Deeds picked up support from Northern and Western Virginia, such as the endorsement from U.S. Congressman Rick Boucher. The area of strength for Deeds was concentrated in Western and Southern Virginia, and the area of strength for Moran consisted mostly of Eastern Virginia with both reaching out to Northern Virginian voters.[citation needed]`
The race was close from the beginning, with McAuliffe considered to be a semi "front-runner" due to his lead in the polls and big campaign war chest. However, in the last few weeks of the race, Deeds began to surge up in the polls. By election night, June 9, Deeds swept to victory. Creigh Deeds spent $14.49 for each vote on the Democratic primary election. Terry McAuliffe spent $68.25 for each vote on the Democratic primary election.[8]
Endorsements
Several endorsements were given in the Democratic primary:
- Endorsements for Creigh Deeds
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- Endorsements for Terry McAuliffe
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- Endorsements for Brian Moran
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Fundraising
Fundraising totals through June 30, 2009, from the Virginia Public Access Project.
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand |
---|---|---|---|
Creigh Deeds | $6,207,528 | $3,486,179 | $2,721,350 |
Terry McAuliffe | $8,250,507 | $8,250,205 | $304 |
Bob McDonnell | $73,981 | $3,360 | $920,623 |
Brian Moran | $4,057,882 | $4,034,070 | $23,816 |
Polling
Source | Dates Administered | Terry McAuliffe | Brian Moran | Creigh Deeds |
---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | June 8 | 30% | 21% | 42% |
Public Policy Polling | June 6–7 | 26% | 24% | 40% |
Suffolk University | June 4 | 20% | 20% | 27% |
Daily Kos/Research 2000 | June 1–3 | 26% | 27% | 30% |
Survey USA | May 31 – June 2 | 35% | 26% | 29% |
Public Policy Polling | May 28–31 | 24% | 22% | 27% |
Public Policy Polling | May 19–21, 2009 | 29% | 20% | 20% |
Daily Kos/Research 2000 | May 18–20, 2009 | 36% | 22% | 13% |
Survey USA | May 17–19, 2009 | 37% | 22% | 26% |
Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2009 | 30% | 20% | 14% |
Survey USA | April 25–27, 2009 | 38% | 22% | 22% |
Research 2000 | April 6–8, 2009 | 19% | 24% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | March 27–29, 2009 | 18% | 22% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | February 28 – March 1, 2009 | 21% | 19% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | January 30 – February 1, 2009 | 18% | 18% | 11% |
Election results
Democratic Primary results[32] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Creigh Deeds | 158,845 | 49.76 | |
Democratic | Terry McAuliffe | 84,387 | 26.43 | |
Democratic | Brian Moran | 75,936 | 23.79 | |
Total votes | 319,168 | 100.00 |
General election
Deeds and McDonnell both ran for Attorney General of Virginia in 2005. McDonnell won by just over 300 votes, in the same election in which Tim Kaine was elected Governor with 52% of the vote.
The main themes of the election were the economy, transportation, and jobs.
The first debate was in Hot Springs, Virginia on July 25.[33]
Vice President Joe Biden campaigned for Deeds in Henrico County, Virginia, a suburb of Richmond, Virginia on July 16.[34] Also attending were Richmond Mayor Dwight Clinton Jones, state Senator A. Donald McEachin (D-Henrico), and Virginia first lady Anne Holton.[35]
On August 6, President Barack Obama and Governor Tim Kaine campaigned for Deeds in McLean, Virginia.[36]
Deeds is from Bath County, Virginia, a rural area of less than 5,000 people, where John McCain received over 55% of the vote. McDonnell is from Virginia Beach, which McCain won with 49.9%.[37]
Fundraising
Candidate | General Elec. Raised | Total Raised |
---|---|---|
R Creigh Deeds (Democrat) | $10,057,402 | $16,264,930 |
Robert F McDonnell (Republican) | $21,466,436 | $21,466,436 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Solid R[38] | October 29, 2009 |
Rothenberg | Safe R[39] | October 28, 2009 |
Swing State Project | Safe R[citation needed] | |
RealClearPolitics | Likely R[40] | October 29, 2009 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R[41] | October 28, 2009 |
CQ Politics | Likely R[42] | October 29, 2009 |
Polling
Deeds (D) vs. McDonnell (R)
Source | Dates Administered | Creigh Deeds (D) | Bob McDonnell (R) |
---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 30 – November 1, 2009 | 40% | 58% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1, 2009 | 42% | 56% |
Mason-Dixon/Richmond Times-Dispatch | October 28–29, 2009 | 41% | 53% |
Research 2000 | October 26–28, 2009 | 44% | 54% |
Center for Community Research | October 21–27, 2009 | 36% | 53% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2009 | 41% | 54% |
SurveyUSA | October 25–26, 2009 | 41% | 58% |
Public Policy Polling | October 23–26, 2009 | 40% | 55% |
Washington Post | October 22–25, 2009 | 44% | 55% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | October 21–25, 2009 | 36% | 54% |
SurveyUSA | October 17–19, 2009 | 40% | 59% |
Public Policy Polling | October 16–19, 2009 | 40% | 52% |
Clarus Research | October 18–19, 2009 | 41% | 49% |
CNU-Pilot-WVEC | October 19, 2009 | 31% | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 12, 2009 | 43% | 50% |
Mason-Dixon | October 6–8, 2009 | 40% | 48% |
Washington Post | October 4–7, 2009 | 44% | 53% |
Survey USA | October 2–4, 2009 | 43% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2009 | 42% | 51% |
Survey USA | September 26–28, 2009 | 41% | 55% |
Public Policy Polling | September 25–28, 2009 | 43% | 48% |
Insider Advantage | September 23, 2009 | 44% | 48% |
Washington Post | September 20, 2009 | 47% | 51% |
Research 2000 | September 14–16, 2009 | 43% | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2009 | 46% | 48% |
Clarus Research Group | September 16, 2009 | 37% | 42% |
Survey USA | September 3, 2009 | 42% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 1, 2009 | 42% | 51% |
Public Policy Polling | August 28–31, 2009 | 42% | 49% |
Washington Post | August 16, 2009 | 40% | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 10, 2009 | 38% | 47% |
Research 2000 | August 3–5, 2009 | 43% | 51% |
Public Policy Polling | July 31 – August 3, 2009 | 37% | 51% |
Survey USA | July 27–28, 2009 | 40% | 55% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 14, 2009 | 41% | 44% |
Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 2, 2009 | 43% | 49% |
Research 2000 | June 15–17, 2009 | 44% | 45% |
ALR | June 10–14, 2009 | 42% | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 10, 2009 | 47% | 41% |
Pre-primary hypotheticals | |||
Source | Dates Administered | Creigh Deeds (D) | Bob McDonnell (R) |
Survey USA | June 5 – 7, 2009 | 43% | 47% |
Survey USA | May 31 – June 2, 2009 | 43% | 44% |
Research 2000 | May 18–20, 2009 | 32% | 45% |
Survey USA | May 17–19, 2009 | 40% | 46% |
Survey USA | April 27, 2009 | 39% | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 15, 2009 | 30% | 45% |
Research 2000 | April 6–8, 2009 | 31% | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 4, 2009 | 30% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | December 4, 2008 | 39% | 39% |
Public Policy Polling | June 14–16, 2008 | 27% | 32% |
Pre-primary hypotheticals
Source | Dates Administered | Brian Moran (D) | Bob McDonnell (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 31 – June 2, 2009 | 37% | 48% |
Research 2000 | May 18–20, 2009 | 35% | 42% |
Survey USA | May 19, 2009 | 37% | 47% |
Survey USA | April 27, 2009 | 34% | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 15, 2009 | 34% | 44% |
Research 2000 | April 8, 2009 | 36% | 37% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 4, 2009 | 36% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | December 4, 2008 | 41% | 37% |
Public Policy Polling | June 14–16, 2008 | 27% | 33% |
Source | Dates Administered | Terry McAuliffe (D) | Bob McDonnell (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 31 – June 2, 2009 | 40% | 47% |
Research 2000 | May 18–20, 2009 | 34% | 44% |
Survey USA | May 19, 2009 | 40% | 46% |
Survey USA | April 27, 2009 | 39% | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 15, 2009 | 33% | 45% |
Research 2000 | April 8, 2009 | 33% | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 4, 2009 | 35% | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | December 4, 2008 | 36% | 41% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bob McDonnell | 1,163,651 | 58.61% | +12.62% | |
Democratic | Creigh Deeds | 818,950 | 41.25% | -10.47% | |
Write-ins | 2,502 | 0.12% | |||
Majority | 344,701 | 17.36% | +11.63% | ||
Turnout | 1,985,103 | 42% | |||
Republican gain from Democratic | Swing |
See also
- Virginia elections, 2009
- Virginia gubernatorial election, 2005
- Governors of Virginia
- New Jersey gubernatorial election, 2009
References
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- ↑ https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2009/B19D959E-A4DD-4C27-BC08-30C8F2FF2F92/Unofficial/2_s.shtml
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- ↑ https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2009/B19D959E-A4DD-4C27-BC08-30C8F2FF2F92/Official/2_s.shtml
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://www.politico.com/politico44/perm/0709/biden_for_deeds_a4f4503f-0fbb-41ad-8133-fee1c5e210ff.html
- ↑ http://www2.timesdispatch.com/rtd/news/state_regional/state_regional_govtpolitics/article/BIDE17S_20090716-223408/280515/
- ↑ http://www.deedsforvirginia.com/node/475
- ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
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- ↑ https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2009/37C2EDEB-FACB-44C1-AF70-05FB616DCD62/Official/2_s.shtml
- ↑ http://wtvr.com/2013/11/05/governors-race-voter-turnout-in-virginia/
External links
- 2009 Virginia Gubernatorial General Election: Robert McDonnell (R) vs Creigh Deeds (D) chart of aggregated polling results from Pollster.com
- 2009 Virginia Governor chart of aggregated polling results from VoteForAmerica.net
- Virginia 2009 Governor campaign contributions from FollowTheMoney.org
- Official results from Virginia State Board of Elections
- Candidates
- Pages with broken file links
- Articles with dead external links from November 2010
- Use mdy dates from April 2012
- Articles with unsourced statements from May 2009
- Pages using columns-list with unknown parameters
- Articles with unsourced statements from October 2010
- United States gubernatorial elections, 2009
- Virginia elections, 2009
- Virginia gubernatorial elections