United States Senate election in South Dakota, 2014
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November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) |
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The 2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of the Governor of South Dakota, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Johnson decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth term in office.
Businessman Rick Weiland ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while the Republicans picked former Governor of South Dakota Mike Rounds. Also running were two independent candidates: former Republican U.S. Senator Larry Pressler, who served three terms in the Senate from 1979 to 1997, and former Republican State Senator Gordon Howie.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
- Kevin Artz, businessman[2][3][4]
- Henry Jo Sinkie, rancher and resort owner[2][5]
Declined
Endorsements
Rick Weiland |
Politicians
Organizations
|
Polling
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Brendan
Johnson |
Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
390 |
± 5% |
16% |
68% |
16% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Steve
Jarding |
Brendan
Johnson |
Rick
Weiland |
Undecided |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
October 2–6, 2013 |
282 |
± 5.84% |
6.6% |
30.7% |
10.1% |
52.7% |
|
Results
Weiland faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Declined
Endorsements
Stace Nelson |
- Blaine "Chip" Campbell, State Representative[33]
- Gordon Howie, radio host, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 2010[33]
- Dan Kaiser, State Representative[33]
- Elizabeth May, State Representative[33]
- Lance Russell, State Representative[33]
|
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Annette
Bosworth |
Stace
Nelson |
Larry
Rhoden |
Mike
Rounds |
Undecided |
Public Opinion Strategies |
April 8–10, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.38% |
8% |
14% |
7% |
61% |
9% |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
October 2–6, 2013 |
410 |
± 4.84% |
2.7% |
10.4% |
3.9% |
46.1% |
37% |
Harper Polling |
September 4–5, 2013 |
252 |
±6.17% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
58% |
22% |
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Kristi
Noem |
Mike
Rounds |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
501 |
± 4.4% |
39% |
43% |
17% |
|
Results
Independents and Third Parties
Candidates
Declared
Disqualified
- Clayton Walker (Independent), small business consultant and Democratic candidate for State Representative in 2010[41][42]
Withdrew
General election
Campaign
Rounds was widely seen as the front runner throughout the campaign.[45] However, he faced ongoing criticism on the election trial for his possible involvement with the State's ongoing EB-5 visa investigation, concerning the conflict of interest that Rounds' administration had when administering the EB-5 program. State officials misused funds to pay for their salaries, did not disclose that they owned companies which they gave contracts to, directed money towards companies that went bankrupt and arranged for loans from unknown sources from shell companies located in tax havens.[46][47][48] In October 2014, Rounds admitted that he had approved a $1 million state loan to meat-packing company Northern Beef shortly after learning that Secretary of Tourism and State Development Richard Benda had agreed to join the company, with Benda then getting another $600,000 in loans that was ultimately used to pay his own salary.[49][50] Benda committed suicide in October 2013, days before a possible indictment over embezzlement and grand theft charges.[51]
Columnist Jonathan Ellis of the Argus Leader called Rounds' fundraising "anemic" compared to the amount of outside money coming in to the state on Weiland's side, and criticized the entire Rounds campaign as "more suited for sheriff of Mayberry County than U.S. Senate." [52]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Rick
Weiland (D) |
Mike
Rounds (R) |
Larry
Pressler (I) |
Gordon
Howie (I) |
Other |
Undecided |
Monmouth University |
October 24–27, 2014 |
429 |
± 4.7% |
31% |
45% |
19% |
1% |
— |
4% |
40% |
48% |
— |
1% |
— |
11% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 22–26, 2014 |
908 |
± 3.5% |
31% |
45% |
21% |
— |
— |
3% |
SurveyUSA |
October 21–26, 2014 |
611 |
± 4% |
32% |
43% |
19% |
2% |
— |
4% |
Mason-Dixon |
October 20–23, 2014 |
800 |
± 3.5% |
33% |
42% |
13% |
2% |
— |
10% |
NBC News/Marist |
October 19–23, 2014 |
730 LV |
± 3.6% |
29% |
43% |
16% |
3% |
<1% |
7% |
990 RV |
± 3.1% |
28% |
43% |
16% |
4% |
<1% |
9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
October 16–23, 2014 |
527 |
± 8% |
25% |
38% |
17% |
— |
0% |
21% |
Public Opinion Strategies* |
October 18–20, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.38% |
24% |
48% |
16% |
3% |
— |
9% |
Harper Polling |
October 9–11, 2014 |
630 |
± 3.9% |
33% |
37% |
23% |
5% |
— |
2% |
SurveyUSA |
October 1–5, 2014 |
616 |
± 4% |
28% |
35% |
32% |
3% |
— |
2% |
47% |
47% |
— |
3% |
— |
3% |
— |
39% |
54% |
3% |
— |
4% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
September 20–October 1, 2014 |
382 |
± 7% |
27% |
42% |
12% |
— |
1% |
17% |
Public Policy Polling^ |
September 29–30, 2014 |
703 |
± 3.7% |
28% |
35% |
24% |
8% |
— |
5% |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
September 21–25, 2014 |
647 |
± 3.24% |
25.7% |
39.4% |
23.7% |
3.6% |
— |
7.2% |
636 |
± 3.27% |
37.1% |
45.4% |
— |
7.2% |
— |
10.3% |
623 |
± 3.3% |
— |
40.4% |
38.7% |
7.8% |
— |
13.2% |
Public Opinion Strategies* |
September 22–23, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.38% |
23% |
41% |
19% |
4% |
— |
12% |
ccAdvertising |
September 22–23, 2014 |
1,769 |
± ? |
17% |
39% |
17% |
— |
— |
27% |
SurveyUSA |
September 3–7, 2014 |
510 |
± 4.4% |
28% |
39% |
25% |
3% |
— |
5% |
42% |
44% |
— |
3% |
— |
11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
August 18–September 2, 2014 |
526 |
± 6% |
29% |
43% |
6% |
— |
1% |
21% |
Public Policy Polling^ |
August 27–28, 2014 |
709 |
± 3.7% |
33% |
39% |
17% |
4% |
— |
7% |
42% |
45% |
— |
— |
— |
13% |
Public Policy Polling^ |
August 12–13, 2014 |
726 |
± 3.6% |
31% |
39% |
16% |
5% |
— |
9% |
Public Opinion Strategies* |
August 11–13, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.38% |
24% |
49% |
15% |
4% |
— |
7% |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
July 23–28, 2014 |
578 |
± 4.04% |
30.2% |
42.9% |
14.2% |
4.1% |
— |
8.6% |
Clarity Campaign Labs^ |
July 16–23, 2014 |
3,837 |
± 1.44% |
24% |
34% |
10% |
3% |
— |
29% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
July 5–24, 2014 |
631 |
± 4.5% |
34% |
59% |
— |
— |
3% |
5% |
Rasmussen Reports |
June 4–5, 2014 |
750 |
± 4% |
29% |
44% |
18% |
— |
2% |
7% |
SurveyUSA |
May 6–10, 2014 |
504 |
± 4.5% |
30% |
44% |
17% |
3% |
2%[53] |
5% |
Public Policy Polling^ |
April 30–May 1, 2014 |
745 |
± 3.6% |
28% |
38% |
15% |
4% |
— |
15% |
Rasmussen Reports |
February 25–26, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
31% |
51% |
— |
— |
6% |
11% |
Public Policy Polling |
October 10–13, 2013 |
882 |
± 3.3% |
34% |
40% |
— |
— |
11%[54] |
15% |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
October 2–6, 2013 |
818 |
± 3.43% |
34.8% |
50.2% |
— |
— |
— |
15% |
Harper Polling |
September 4–5, 2013 |
517 |
± 4.31% |
38% |
52% |
— |
— |
— |
10% |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
June 10–14, 2013 |
500 |
± 4.4% |
27.1% |
54.3% |
— |
— |
— |
18.6% |
Hypothetical polling
|
- With Herseth Sandlin
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin (D) |
Kristi
Noem (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
1,069 |
± 3% |
48% |
47% |
— |
5% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin (D) |
Mike
Rounds (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
1,069 |
± 3% |
44% |
49% |
— |
7% |
- With B. Johnson
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Brendan
Johnson (D) |
Kristi
Noem (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
1,069 |
± 3% |
37% |
49% |
— |
14% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Brendan
Johnson (D) |
Mike
Rounds (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
1,069 |
± 3% |
32% |
53% |
— |
15% |
- With T. Johnson
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Tim
Johnson (D) |
Kristi
Noem (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
1,069 |
± 3% |
45% |
49% |
— |
7% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Tim
Johnson (D) |
Mike
Rounds (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
March 18–19, 2013 |
1,069 |
± 3% |
41% |
52% |
— |
7% |
- With Weiland
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Rick
Weiland (D) |
Annette
Bosworth (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
October 2–6, 2013 |
815 |
± 3.43% |
37.6% |
32.5% |
— |
29.9% |
Harper Polling |
September 4–5, 2013 |
517 |
± 4.31% |
38% |
36% |
— |
26% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Rick
Weiland (D) |
Stace
Nelson (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
October 2–6, 2013 |
815 |
± 3.43% |
35.6% |
34.5% |
— |
29.9% |
Harper Polling |
September 4–5, 2013 |
517 |
± 4.31% |
38% |
40% |
— |
22% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Rick
Weiland (D) |
Larry
Rhoden (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
Nielson Brothers Polling |
October 2–6, 2013 |
815 |
± 3.43% |
36.5% |
32.3% |
— |
31.3% |
Harper Polling |
September 4–5, 2013 |
517 |
± 4.31% |
35% |
41% |
— |
23% |
|
- * Internal polling for the Mike Rounds campaign
- ^ Internal polling for the Rick Weiland campaign
Results
See also
References
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External links
- Official campaign websites
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- ↑ Stephanie Herseth Sandlin won’t run in South Dakota - James Hohmann - POLITICO.com
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- ↑ Thune offers Rounds support in Senate bid | The Argus Leader | argusleader.com
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- ↑ Clayton Walker (I) 2%
- ↑ Kurt Evans (L) 11%
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