2020 United States presidential election in Georgia
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.
Contents
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | September 10, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Tossup | September 4, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Lean R | July 14, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Lean R | September 8, 2020 |
RCP[7] | Tossup | August 3, 2020 |
Niskanen[8] | Tossup | July 26, 2020 |
CNN[9] | Tossup | August 3, 2020 |
The Economist[10] | Tossup | September 2, 2020 |
CBS News[11] | Tossup | August 16, 2020 |
270towin[12] | Tossup | August 2, 2020 |
ABC News[13] | Tossup | July 31, 2020 |
NPR[14] | Tossup | August 3, 2020 |
NBC News[15] | Tossup | August 6, 2020 |
538[16] | Tilt R | September 9, 2020 |
Polling
- Graphical summary
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Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
270 to Win | August 21 – September 20, 2020 | September 21, 2020 | 45.8% | 46.6% | 7.6% | Trump +0.8 |
Real Clear Politics | July 23 – September 20, 2020 | September 21, 2020 | 45.4% | 46.4% | 8.2% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until September 20, 2020 | September 21, 2020 | 46.5% | 47.1% | 6.4% | Trump +0.6 |
Average | 45.9% | 46.7% | 7.4% | Trump +0.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Jo Jorgensen (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0%[lower-alpha 3] | 4% |
402 (LV) | 48%[lower-alpha 4] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
50%[lower-alpha 5] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0%[lower-alpha 6] | 8%[lower-alpha 7] |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia[upper-alpha 1] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 8] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 48%[lower-alpha 9] | 46% | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP[1] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± < 4% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman[upper-alpha 2] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 10] | – |
PPP/Fair Fight Action[upper-alpha 3] | Aug 24–25, 2020 | 782 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications | Aug 14–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 11] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 12] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER[upper-alpha 4] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 13] | 10%[lower-alpha 14] |
Monmouth University | Jul 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
402 (LV) | 48%[lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
49%[lower-alpha 16] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,337 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[upper-alpha 5] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group | Jul 15–18, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 17] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 6] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[upper-alpha 7] | Jul 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jul 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 8] | Jun 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4%[lower-alpha 18] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
TargetSmart | May 21–27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10%[lower-alpha 19] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 17-26, 2020 | 1,396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3%[lower-alpha 20] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D)[2] | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | - | – | 6%[lower-alpha 21] |
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[upper-alpha 9] | May 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | - | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 46% | 47% | - | – | 7%[lower-alpha 22] |
Cygnal/David Ralston[3][lower-alpha 23] | Apr 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | - | 7% | 5% |
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate[lower-alpha 24] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | - | – | 6% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | - | 4% | – |
University of Georgia | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | 4% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | - | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 1,303 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | - | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | – | 5% |
University of Georgia | Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 25] |
Zogby Analytics | Oct 28–30, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | - | – | 11% |
Former candidates
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Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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Hypothetical polling
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Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Donald Trump and Mike Pence | ||||
Democratic | Joe Biden and Kamala Harris | ||||
Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen | ||||
Total votes |
Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, they were moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[18] On April 9, the primary elections were again rescheduled to June 9.[19]
Republican primary
Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[20]
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 947,352 | 100 | 76 |
Total | 947,352 | 100.00 | 76 |
Democratic primary
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Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | |||
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | |||
Bernie Sanders | |||
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | |||
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | |||
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | |||
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | |||
John Delaney (withdrawn) | |||
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | |||
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | |||
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | |||
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | |||
Total |
See also
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
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References
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- ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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