2020 United States presidential election in Georgia

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2020 United States presidential election in Georgia

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Tossup September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Tossup September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Lean R July 14, 2020
Politico[6] Lean R September 8, 2020
RCP[7] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[8] Tossup July 26, 2020
CNN[9] Tossup August 3, 2020
The Economist[10] Tossup September 2, 2020
CBS News[11] Tossup August 16, 2020
270towin[12] Tossup August 2, 2020
ABC News[13] Tossup July 31, 2020
NPR[14] Tossup August 3, 2020
NBC News[15] Tossup August 6, 2020
538[16] Tilt R September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win August 21 – September 20, 2020 September 21, 2020 45.8% 46.6% 7.6% Trump +0.8
Real Clear Politics July 23 – September 20, 2020 September 21, 2020 45.4% 46.4% 8.2% Trump +1.0
FiveThirtyEight until September 20, 2020 September 21, 2020 46.5% 47.1% 6.4% Trump +0.6
Average 45.9% 46.7% 7.4% Trump +0.8

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Jo
Jorgensen (L)
Other Undecided
Monmouth University Sep 17–21, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 47% 46% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 3] 4%
402 (LV) 48%[lower-alpha 4] 46% 2% 4%
50%[lower-alpha 5] 45% 1% 3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 16–21, 2020 523 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 6] 8%[lower-alpha 7]
University of Georgia/AJC Sep 11–20, 2020 1,150 (LV) ± 4% 47% 47% 1% 4%
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia[upper-alpha 1] Sep 14–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 46% 49%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–16, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 46% 45% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 8] 6%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 1,486 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 48%[lower-alpha 9] 46%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP[1] Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± < 4% 46% 47%
Landmark Communications/WSB Aug 29–31, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 1,392 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 46% 49%
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman[upper-alpha 2] Aug 20–30, 2020 1,616 (RV) ± 2.4% 46% 52% 2%[lower-alpha 10]
PPP/Fair Fight Action[upper-alpha 3] Aug 24–25, 2020 782 (V) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 6%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 1,265 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% 46%
Landmark Communications Aug 14–15, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 4% 3%
SurveyUSA Aug 6–8, 2020 623 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 46% 4%[lower-alpha 11] 6%
YouGov/CBS Jul 28–31, 2020 1,109 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 12] 5%
HIT Strategies/DFER[upper-alpha 4] Jul 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 40% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 13] 10%[lower-alpha 14]
Monmouth University Jul 23–27, 2020 402 (RV) ± 2% 47% 47% 3% 3%
402 (LV) 48%[lower-alpha 15] 47% 2% 3%
49%[lower-alpha 16] 46% 2% 4%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,337 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 47%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[upper-alpha 5] Jul 23–24, 2020 722 (V) 45% 46% 9%
Trafalgar Group Jul 15–18, 2020 1,023 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 17] 2%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 6] Jul 11–16, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[upper-alpha 7] Jul 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% 10%
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jul 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 45% - 8%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 8] Jun 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 49% - 6%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% - 4%[lower-alpha 18] 5%
Public Policy Polling Jun 12–13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 48% - 6%
TargetSmart May 21–27, 2020 321 (RV) ± 5.5% 44% 40% - 10%[lower-alpha 19] 6%
Morning Consult May 17-26, 2020 1,396 (LV) 49% 47%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 48% - 3%[lower-alpha 20] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D)[2] May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2% 47% 47% - 6%[lower-alpha 21]
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[upper-alpha 9] May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46% -
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 46% 47% - 7%[lower-alpha 22]
Cygnal/David Ralston[3][lower-alpha 23] Apr 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% - 7% 5%
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate[lower-alpha 24] Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% - 6%
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 47% - 4%
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 43% - 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% - 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% - 10%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 47% 48% - 5%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 51% - 3% 4%[lower-alpha 25]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% - 11%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 6% 3%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% - 5%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% - 14%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 49% 42% 9%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 46% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 26]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 38% - 17%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 43% - 11%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 49% 44% 7%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 7%[lower-alpha 27]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 46% 3%
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 41% 5% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 48% 46% 6%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 48% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 28]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 42% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% - 6%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 46% - 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 47% 47% 5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 47% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 29]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
AJC[4] Jan 6–15, 2020 1,025 (V) ± 3.1% 43.6% 46.9%[lower-alpha 30] 1.8%[lower-alpha 31] 7.7%[lower-alpha 32]

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Georgia[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Total votes

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, they were moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[18] On April 9, the primary elections were again rescheduled to June 9.[19]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[20]

2020 Georgia Republican primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 947,352 100 76
Total 947,352 100.00 76

Democratic primary

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2020 Georgia Democratic primary
Candidate Votes  % Delegates
Joe Biden
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
John Delaney (withdrawn)
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Total

See also

Notes

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References

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  8. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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